TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110069
Played Sep 11Finished
Pavel Kulhanek
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111311611911––
Milan Chalupnicek
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeMilan Chalupnicek to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Milan Chalupnicek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Milan Chalupnicek at 61.5%
81 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 8–14 Milan Chalupnicek Pavel Kulhanek has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:25What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chalupnicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-14 in 22
Chalupnicek
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1351 vs Chalupnicek 1352
Chalupnicek
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 60% vs Chalupnicek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 50% vs Chalupnicek 70%
Chalupnicek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek +2 · Chalupnicek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Chalupnicek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulhanek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 2.63 / Chalupnicek 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Chalupnicek)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110069
Kulhanek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 43 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back20% 14 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Chalupnicek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it97% 29 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it81% 39 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulhanek2wins
AwayChalupnicek8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChalupnicek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulhanekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayChalupnicek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulhanek2Chalupnicek8n = 10Chalupnicek took 8 of 10
S2Kulhanek4Chalupnicek6n = 10Chalupnicek took 6 of 10
S3Kulhanek2Chalupnicek8n = 10Chalupnicek took 8 of 10
S4Kulhanek3Chalupnicek2n = 5Kulhanek took 3 of 5
S5Kulhanek1Chalupnicek2n = 3Chalupnicek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulhanekChalupnicekK − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.437.1−5.7per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekChalupnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 423 vs 331 / 66853.7%49.6%227 / 423 vs 331 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupnicekKulhanek 2.63/Chalupnicek 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Chalupnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chalupnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 12:00P. Kulhanek—47110M. Chalupnicek—1111133
LSep 7 · 12:00P. Kulhanek—611381M. Chalupnicek—11611113
LSep 4 · 11:30P. Kulhanek—6960M. Chalupnicek—1111113
WJul 17 · 11:00P. Kulhanek—1111113M. Chalupnicek—4790
LJun 13 · 10:00P. Kulhanek—11971392M. Chalupnicek—9111111113
WApr 24 · 13:28P. Kulhanek—511811113M. Chalupnicek—11311772
LApr 24 · 12:00P. Kulhanek—86111152M. Chalupnicek—111144113
LApr 8 · 13:00P. Kulhanek—8130101M. Chalupnicek—111111123
LApr 8 · 12:00P. Kulhanek—8750M. Chalupnicek—1111113
LApr 7 · 12:00P. Kulhanek—7790M. Chalupnicek—1111113
P. Kulhanek10
WSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110WSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113WSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113WSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.531111133P. Kulhanek2.3847110LSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172WSep 9 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.3311119113J. Svec3.25661181LSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113LSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113
M. Chalupnicek10
LSep 11 · 13:30Z. Zikmunda1.40471111113M. Chalupnicek2.7511118792WSep 11 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4011611113J. Grohsgott2.75511971LSep 11 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.201011781Z. Zikmunda1.6112811113WSep 9 · 13:30J. Strnad1.499111181M. Chalupnicek2.2711613113WSep 9 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.531111133P. Kulhanek2.3847110WSep 9 · 11:30J. Svec2.1091111882M. Chalupnicek1.67119911113LSep 9 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.5011951332J. Strnad1.507111111113WSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101WSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113
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