TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108525
Played Sep 11Finished
Milan Chalupnicek
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118711811––
Zdenek Zikmunda
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Chalupnicek to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMilan Chalupnicek above · Zdenek Zikmunda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Milan Chalupnicek at 60.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Milan Chalupnicek 0–1 Zdenek Zikmunda Milan Chalupnicek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zikmunda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chalupnicek 1363 vs Zikmunda 1377
Zikmunda
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chalupnicek 80% vs Zikmunda 60%
Chalupnicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chalupnicek 70% vs Zikmunda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chalupnicek +3 · Zikmunda +2
Chalupnicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zikmunda) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupnicek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupnicek 2.20 / Zikmunda 1.61
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chalupnicek)+3.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108525
Chalupnicek2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 56 of 133
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back14% 6 of 42
Zikmunda1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite36% won 4 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChalupnicek0wins
AwayZikmunda1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderZikmunda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChalupnicekZikmundaC − ZBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match45.051.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupnicekZikmundaBasisWin rate · lifetime331 / 667 vs 11 / 2849.6%39.3%331 / 667 vs 11 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZikmundaChalupnicek 2.20/Zikmunda 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zikmunda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zikmunda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 08:30M. Chalupnicek—71113682Z. Zikmunda—1171111113
M. Chalupnicek10
LSep 11 · 13:30Z. Zikmunda1.40471111113M. Chalupnicek2.7511118792WSep 11 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4011611113J. Grohsgott2.75511971WSep 11 · 11:30P. Kulhanek2.63913691M. Chalupnicek1.44111111113WSep 9 · 13:30J. Strnad1.499111181M. Chalupnicek2.2711613113WSep 9 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.531111133P. Kulhanek2.3847110WSep 9 · 11:30J. Svec2.1091111882M. Chalupnicek1.67119911113LSep 9 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.5011951332J. Strnad1.507111111113WSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101WSep 7 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.6111611113P. Kulhanek2.20611381WSep 7 · 11:30J. Svec2.101012141142M. Chalupnicek1.671210169113
Z. Zikmunda10
WSep 11 · 13:30Z. Zikmunda1.40471111113M. Chalupnicek2.7511118792LSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113WSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980WSep 11 · 09:30M. Stefek1.65124130Z. Zikmunda2.101411153WSep 11 · 08:30L. Sulava2.00111011692Z. Zikmunda1.73812611113LSep 11 · 07:30Z. Zikmunda2.2511712652M. Stefek1.577111011113WSep 11 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.8013137101Z. Zikmunda1.91151111123LSep 5 · 13:28Z. Zikmunda1.8311971182Z. Drabek1.83811119113WSep 5 · 12:00Z. Zikmunda2.001111113Z. Drabek1.734650WSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113
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