TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115392
Played Sep 12Finished
Pavel Berdych
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171141311––––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePavel Berdych to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Berdych above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 57 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Pavel Berdych at 55.8%
57 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Berdych 15–15 Vaclav Hruska Sr Dead even across their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:25What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Berdych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-15 in 30
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Berdych 1340 vs Sr 1321
Berdych
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berdych 60% vs Sr 100%
Sr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berdych 70% vs Sr 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Berdych +1 · Sr +5
Sr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Berdych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerdych 1.67 / Sr 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Berdych)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115392
Berdych1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 58 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Sr2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog37% won 81 of 217
Down 0–1, comes back22% 27 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBerdych7wins
AwaySr3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerdych80%4 of 5
AwaySr40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Berdych5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S2Berdych8Sr2n = 10Berdych took 8 of 10
S3Berdych4Sr6n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S4Berdych5Sr2n = 7Berdych took 5 of 7
S5Berdych3Sr2n = 5Berdych took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerdychSrB − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.035.4+5.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerdychSrBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 436 vs 460 / 98349.5%46.8%216 / 436 vs 460 / 983Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerdychBerdych 1.67/Sr 2.10
Hit
What we said
55.8%
Berdych · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Berdych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 9 · 14:30P. Berdych44111111113V. Sr30641371
WJul 21 · 16:00P. Berdych331111113V. Sr227870
WJul 19 · 17:30P. Berdych331111113V. Sr235990
WJul 19 · 16:00P. Berdych50111189113V. Sr3654111152
WJul 18 · 16:00P. Berdych471011312113V. Sr40124111032
LJun 15 · 20:30P. Berdych4511117792V. Sr46671111113
LMay 16 · 17:00P. Berdych4661171392V. Sr491151111113
LMay 16 · 15:30P. Berdych2151060V. Sr341112113
WApr 28 · 17:29P. Berdych491151111113V. Sr4313115682
WApr 28 · 14:00P. Berdych4291111113V. Sr31119291
P. Berdych10
WSep 12 · 19:00P. Berdych2.25111110153M. Novotny1.579812131LSep 12 · 18:00J. Strnad1.9171112113P. Berdych1.801151011LSep 11 · 17:29P. Berdych1.911191251J. Strnad1.8051114113WSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad1.8391113582P. Berdych1.831121111113WSep 11 · 15:30P. Berdych1.4011911113M. Barta2.75611951WSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Strnad1.73111241182P. Berdych2.001310118113WSep 10 · 19:30P. Berdych1.911111113V. Kosar1.809790WSep 10 · 18:30M. Novotny1.4411116452P. Berdych2.63991111113
V. Sr10
WSep 12 · 19:30V. Sr2.0081311113J. Strnad1.731111481WSep 12 · 18:30M. Novotny1.50114111072V. Sr2.50611812113WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113
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