TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135794
Played Sep 16Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117119––––
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:59 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 55.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 29–20 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Kulhanek has won 20 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:59What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Strnad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-20 in 49
Strnad
Correct
gap of 9 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1483 vs Kulhanek 1348
Strnad
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 100% vs Kulhanek 40%
Strnad
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 90% vs Kulhanek 60%
Strnad
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +5 · Kulhanek -1
Strnad
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Strnad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strnad form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.73 / Kulhanek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Strnad)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135794
Strnad1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 122 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it72% 92 of 127
Kulhanek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 42 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back21% 14 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad5wins
AwayKulhanek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad71.4%5 of 7
AwayKulhanek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad7Kulhanek3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S2Strnad7Kulhanek3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S3Strnad4Kulhanek6n = 10Kulhanek took 6 of 10
S4Strnad2Kulhanek6n = 8Kulhanek took 6 of 8
S5Strnad2Kulhanek3n = 5Kulhanek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadKulhanekS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.038.7+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1118 vs 225 / 42449.3%53.1%551 / 1118 vs 225 / 424Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.73/Kulhanek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 14:00J. Strnad46111167113P. Kulhanek4038111172
WSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad46111167113P. Kulhanek4267111172
WSep 7 · 13:30J. Strnad47111015113P. Kulhanek389121341
LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad205870P. Kulhanek331111113
WSep 4 · 13:30J. Strnad4411119133P. Kulhanek274111111
LSep 4 · 10:00J. Strnad4011711562P. Kulhanek48811711113
LSep 2 · 23:30J. Strnad47111357112P. Kulhanek559111111133
WAug 21 · 23:00J. Strnad331111113P. Kulhanek166460
LAug 20 · 11:00J. Strnad31511691P. Kulhanek3711411113
LAug 7 · 02:00J. Strnad46611111172P. Kulhanek51119713113
J. Strnad10
WSep 16 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.257811111J. Strnad1.5711118133WSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161WSep 14 · 16:30J. Strnad1.7341111113P. Berdych2.00117921WSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad1.8011811113V. Sr1.91811571WSep 14 · 14:00P. Kulhanek2.0038111172J. Strnad1.73111167113WSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:00J. Strnad2.751111113M. Novotny1.409960LSep 12 · 19:30V. Sr2.0081311113J. Strnad1.731111481WSep 12 · 18:00J. Strnad1.9171112113P. Berdych1.801151011WSep 11 · 17:29P. Berdych1.911191251J. Strnad1.8051114113
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 16 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4491111113P. Kulhanek2.63118551LSep 16 · 10:30P. Kulhanek2.00116841V. Sr1.7391111113WSep 14 · 17:00P. Kulhanek1.5061111123P. Berdych2.501159101LSep 14 · 16:00P. Kulhanek2.00119931V. Sr1.7331111113WSep 14 · 15:30P. Berdych2.20611341P. Kulhanek1.6111911113LSep 14 · 14:00P. Kulhanek2.0038111172J. Strnad1.73111167113WSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110WSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Kulhanek2.63913691M. Chalupnicek1.44111111113WSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113
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