TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126081
Played Sep 14Finished
Pavel Berdych
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119311411––
Pavel Kulhanek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Berdych above · Pavel Kulhanek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 58.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Berdych 3–7 Pavel Kulhanek Pavel Berdych has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kulhanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Kulhanek
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Berdych 1291 vs Kulhanek 1356
Kulhanek
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Berdych 40% vs Kulhanek 60%
Kulhanek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Berdych 50% vs Kulhanek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Berdych -2 · Kulhanek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kulhanek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBerdych 2.20 / Kulhanek 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kulhanek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126081
Berdych2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 19 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Kulhanek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 54 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBerdych3wins
AwayKulhanek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerdychn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKulhanek87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Berdych2Kulhanek8n = 10Kulhanek took 8 of 10
S2Berdych6Kulhanek4n = 10Berdych took 6 of 10
S3Berdych4Kulhanek6n = 10Kulhanek took 6 of 10
S4Berdych3Kulhanek2n = 5Berdych took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerdychKulhanekB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.235.6−2.4per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerdychKulhanekBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 431 vs 224 / 42148.7%53.2%210 / 431 vs 224 / 421Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekBerdych 2.20/Kulhanek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 15:30P. Berdych24611341P. Kulhanek4211911113
WJun 13 · 13:30P. Berdych331111113P. Kulhanek218580
LJun 13 · 12:30P. Berdych216690P. Kulhanek331111113
LFeb 1 · 09:00P. Berdych359114111P. Kulhanek4211711133
WSep 26 · 17:00P. Berdych4381113113P. Kulhanek341181141
LSep 26 · 15:00P. Berdych2410680P. Kulhanek341211113
WSep 14 · 10:00P. Berdych331111113P. Kulhanek112630
LJan 24 · 12:30P. Berdych4571181182P. Kulhanek48118117113
LJan 12 · 18:00P. Berdych2661370P. Kulhanek371115113
LJan 12 · 17:30P. Berdych48107121272P. Kulhanek5412111010113
P. Berdych10
LSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641LSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:30P. Berdych1.671111133V. Sr2.1074110WSep 12 · 19:00P. Berdych2.25111110153M. Novotny1.579812131LSep 12 · 18:00J. Strnad1.9171112113P. Berdych1.801151011LSep 11 · 17:29P. Berdych1.911191251J. Strnad1.8051114113WSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad1.8391113582P. Berdych1.831121111113WSep 11 · 15:30P. Berdych1.4011911113M. Barta2.75611951WSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 10 · 21:30P. Berdych1.5531191162V. Kosar2.30118117113
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 14 · 14:00P. Kulhanek2.0038111172J. Strnad1.73111167113WSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110WSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Kulhanek2.63913691M. Chalupnicek1.44111111113WSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113WSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.531111133P. Kulhanek2.3847110LSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172WSep 9 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.3311119113J. Svec3.25661181LSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113
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