TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130279
Played Sep 14Finished
Pavel Kulhanek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111151191210––
Pavel Berdych
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:58 and never touched — 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timePavel Kulhanek to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Kulhanek above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Pavel Kulhanek at 65.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Kulhanek 7–3 Pavel Berdych Pavel Berdych has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kulhanek beat Berdych 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kulhanek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Kulhanek
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulhanek 1343 vs Berdych 1284
Kulhanek
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulhanek 60% vs Berdych 20%
Kulhanek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulhanek 50% vs Berdych 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulhanek -1 · Berdych -4
Berdych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kulhanek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulhanek 1.50 / Berdych 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kulhanek)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13130279
Kulhanek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 54 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Berdych2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog27% won 19 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulhanek7wins
AwayBerdych3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulhanek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulhanek87.5%7 of 8
AwayBerdychn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulhanek8Berdych2n = 10Kulhanek took 8 of 10
S2Kulhanek4Berdych6n = 10Berdych took 6 of 10
S3Kulhanek6Berdych4n = 10Kulhanek took 6 of 10
S4Kulhanek2Berdych3n = 5Berdych took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulhanekBerdychK − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.633.2+2.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulhanekBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime224 / 422 vs 210 / 43253.1%48.6%224 / 422 vs 210 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulhanekKulhanek 1.50/Berdych 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Kulhanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kulhanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 15:30P. Kulhanek4211911113P. Berdych24611341
LJun 13 · 13:30P. Kulhanek218580P. Berdych331111113
WJun 13 · 12:30P. Kulhanek331111113P. Berdych216690
WFeb 1 · 09:00P. Kulhanek4211711133P. Berdych359114111
LSep 26 · 17:00P. Kulhanek341181141P. Berdych4381113113
WSep 26 · 15:00P. Kulhanek341211113P. Berdych2410680
LSep 14 · 10:00P. Kulhanek112630P. Berdych331111113
WJan 24 · 12:30P. Kulhanek48118117113P. Berdych4571181182
WJan 12 · 18:00P. Kulhanek371115113P. Berdych2661370
WJan 12 · 17:30P. Kulhanek5412111010113P. Berdych48107121272
P. Kulhanek10
LSep 14 · 16:00P. Kulhanek2.00119931V. Sr1.7331111113WSep 14 · 15:30P. Berdych2.20611341P. Kulhanek1.6111911113LSep 14 · 14:00P. Kulhanek2.0038111172J. Strnad1.73111167113WSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110WSep 11 · 12:30Z. Zikmunda1.401112781P. Kulhanek2.7541411113LSep 11 · 11:30P. Kulhanek2.63913691M. Chalupnicek1.44111111113WSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113WSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.531111133P. Kulhanek2.3847110LSep 9 · 11:00J. Strnad1.83111167113P. Kulhanek1.8367111172
P. Berdych10
LSep 14 · 16:30J. Strnad1.7341111113P. Berdych2.00117921LSep 14 · 15:30P. Berdych2.20611341P. Kulhanek1.6111911113LSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641LSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:30P. Berdych1.671111133V. Sr2.1074110WSep 12 · 19:00P. Berdych2.25111110153M. Novotny1.579812131LSep 12 · 18:00J. Strnad1.9171112113P. Berdych1.801151011LSep 11 · 17:29P. Berdych1.911191251J. Strnad1.8051114113WSep 11 · 16:30J. Strnad1.8391113582P. Berdych1.831121111113WSep 11 · 15:30P. Berdych1.4011911113M. Barta2.75611951
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