TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114411
Played Sep 12Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117118––––
Milan Vrabec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 54.2% is still 54.2%
Graded at full timeMilan Vrabec to win
54.2%
54.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Milan Vrabec below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Milan Vrabec at 54.2%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 14–21 Milan Vrabec Jiri Grohsgott has won 14 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-21 in 35
Vrabec
Wrong
gap of 7 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1229 vs Vrabec 1134
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 40% vs Vrabec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 30% vs Vrabec 60%
Vrabec
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott +1 · Vrabec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.67 / Vrabec 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Grohsgott)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114411
Grohsgott1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 156 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it97% 90 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it83% 118 of 142
Vrabec2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 26 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott6wins
AwayVrabec4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott50%4 of 8
AwayVrabecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott8Vrabec2n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S2Grohsgott5Vrabec5n = 10split evenly
S3Grohsgott5Vrabec5n = 10split evenly
S4Grohsgott5Vrabec4n = 9Grohsgott took 5 of 9
S5Grohsgott2Vrabec3n = 5Vrabec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottVrabecG − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.337.2+5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottVrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime750 / 1534 vs 174 / 34448.9%50.6%750 / 1534 vs 174 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.67/Vrabec 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 07:30J. Grohsgott521271111112M. Vrabec481011113133
WAug 23 · 10:00J. Grohsgott48691111113M. Vrabec3511115622
LAug 22 · 08:59J. Grohsgott541110111572M. Vrabec54612817113
LAug 22 · 08:30J. Grohsgott28118541M. Vrabec3741111113
LMay 22 · 08:00J. Grohsgott4411118772M. Vrabec43461111113
WMay 17 · 06:00J. Grohsgott4161211123M. Vrabec3211101101
WMay 13 · 11:30J. Grohsgott3911116113M. Vrabec36881191
WMay 12 · 07:00J. Grohsgott331111113M. Vrabec193970
WApr 24 · 13:30J. Grohsgott471110411113M. Vrabec4451211882
WApr 24 · 10:00J. Grohsgott3711114113M. Vrabec24291121
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.73111169113M. Syroha2.0097111172LSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113WSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110LSep 11 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4011611113J. Grohsgott2.75511971LSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980LSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113
M. Vrabec10
LSep 12 · 15:00M. Syroha1.44811913113M. Vrabec2.63115111152LSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 7 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.5811114113D. Mutl2.25971151WSep 7 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.61111111113A. Hejduk2.20841371LSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113WSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:30M. Smesny2.751041181M. Vrabec1.4012117113LSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113WSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Grohsgott
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M. Vrabec
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