TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114412
Played Sep 12Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119117611911117
Michal Syroha
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 57.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 32–34 Michal Syroha Jiri Grohsgott has won 32 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Grohsgott
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-34 in 66
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1211 vs Syroha 1149
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 20% vs Syroha 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 30% vs Syroha 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -1 · Syroha -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 1.73 / Syroha 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Grohsgott)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114412
Grohsgott1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 156 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it97% 90 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it83% 118 of 142
Syroha2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 86 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back28% 36 of 131
Down 0–2, comes back15% 12 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott7wins
AwaySyroha3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott85.7%6 of 7
AwaySyroha66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott7Syroha3n = 10Grohsgott took 7 of 10
S2Grohsgott8Syroha2n = 10Grohsgott took 8 of 10
S3Grohsgott5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S4Grohsgott3Syroha3n = 6split evenly
S5Grohsgott2Syroha1n = 3Grohsgott took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottSyrohaG − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.432.7+5.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime750 / 1536 vs 335 / 67048.8%50%750 / 1536 vs 335 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottGrohsgott 1.73/Syroha 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 14:30J. Grohsgott46113912113M. Syroha50911111092
LSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott409119111M. Syroha4311811133
WAug 23 · 17:00J. Grohsgott331111113M. Syroha103340
WAug 23 · 16:00J. Grohsgott511181011113M. Syroha3641112362
LAug 22 · 06:00J. Grohsgott3911128622M. Syroha452101111113
LAug 18 · 22:30J. Grohsgott25411641M. Syroha3611311113
WAug 13 · 21:30J. Grohsgott4581311133M. Syroha4011117111
WAug 13 · 19:00J. Grohsgott331111113M. Syroha172690
WAug 12 · 02:30J. Grohsgott331111113M. Syroha205780
WJul 29 · 20:00J. Grohsgott391113153M. Syroha30611130
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681LSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113WSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110LSep 11 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4011611113J. Grohsgott2.75511971LSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980LSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113WSep 9 · 09:28M. Regner1.309680J. Grohsgott3.401111113
M. Syroha10
WSep 12 · 15:00M. Syroha1.44811913113M. Vrabec2.63115111152LSep 11 · 17:00M. Syroha2.0013630V. Stach1.701511113LSep 11 · 16:00M. Syroha2.00111262122V. Stach1.733101111143WSep 11 · 15:30M. Regner1.9161111422M. Syroha1.80118911113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha1.679570J. Svec2.101111113LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113
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