TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110280
Played Sep 11Finished
Milan Regner
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611118119411211
Michal Syroha
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Regner above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 84 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Michal Syroha at 56.2%
84 points played in total.
H2H Milan Regner 3–5 Michal Syroha Milan Regner has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:12What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Syroha
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Regner 1248 vs Syroha 1181
Regner
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Regner 60% vs Syroha 20%
Regner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Regner 60% vs Syroha 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Regner +1 · Syroha -3
Syroha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRegner 1.91 / Syroha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Syroha)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110280
Regner1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 33 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 30
Syroha1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it77% 54 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeRegner3wins
AwaySyroha5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSyroha leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRegnern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySyroha71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Regner1Syroha7n = 8Syroha took 7 of 8
S2Regner3Syroha5n = 8Syroha took 5 of 8
S3Regner6Syroha2n = 8Regner took 6 of 8
S4Regner3Syroha3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricRegnerSyrohaR − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set17−6of 8Avg pointsper match36.236.6−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRegnerSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 527 vs 334 / 66746.5%50.1%245 / 527 vs 334 / 667Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaRegner 1.91/Syroha 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner—861151M. Syroha—11114113
LAug 29 · 18:00M. Regner—8890M. Syroha—1111113
LAug 29 · 09:00M. Regner—961191M. Syroha—11117113
LAug 29 · 06:30M. Regner—87111182M. Syroha—111199113
WAug 28 · 15:30M. Regner—451211113M. Syroha—111110952
WAug 23 · 14:00M. Regner—1111113M. Syroha—6730
LJul 23 · 14:00M. Regner—1011881M. Syroha—12411113
WJun 16 · 14:30M. Regner—91111113M. Syroha—119661
M. Regner10
WSep 11 · 14:30V. Stach2.3878110M. Regner1.531111133LSep 9 · 09:28M. Regner1.309680J. Grohsgott3.401111113LSep 9 · 08:30M. Regner1.3368121182L. Madle3.251111109113WSep 9 · 07:00M. Regner1.5311511113L. Forman2.38611271WSep 9 · 06:00J. Grohsgott3.009760M. Regner1.361111113WSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113LSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540LSep 7 · 10:30D. Mutl3.251111113M. Regner1.338980WSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113
M. Syroha10
LSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha1.679570J. Svec2.101111113LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113
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