TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108521
Played Sep 11Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511711––––
Jiri Svec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:04 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Michal Syroha at 58.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 19–12 Jiri Svec Jiri Svec has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syroha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-12 in 31
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1194 vs Svec 1211
Svec
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 20% vs Svec 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 60% vs Svec 20%
Syroha
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha -2 · Svec -4
Svec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.67 / Svec 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Syroha)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108521
Syroha1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 79 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it77% 54 of 70
Svec2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 57 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha5wins
AwaySvec5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyrohan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySvec50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha2Svec8n = 10Svec took 8 of 10
S2Syroha7Svec3n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S3Syroha2Svec8n = 10Svec took 8 of 10
S4Syroha5Svec3n = 8Syroha took 5 of 8
S5Syroha3Svec1n = 4Syroha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaSvecSyroha − SvecBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.340.5−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 675 vs 397 / 85349.8%46.5%336 / 675 vs 397 / 853Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.67/Svec 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 21:30M. Syroha—4121212133J. Svec—11101410112
LAug 29 · 19:30M. Syroha—11680J. Svec—1311113
LAug 29 · 07:00M. Syroha—411891J. Svec—11911113
LAug 28 · 17:00M. Syroha—7460J. Svec—1111113
WAug 28 · 14:00M. Syroha—811118113J. Svec—11771182
WAug 2 · 10:00M. Syroha—11112113J. Svec—741171
LAug 1 · 16:58M. Syroha—3116111J. Svec—11411133
LAug 1 · 14:00M. Syroha—11331182J. Svec—311119113
WJul 29 · 20:59M. Syroha—311811113J. Svec—11611872
WJul 29 · 19:30M. Syroha—51211133J. Svec—11107111
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113
J. Svec10
LSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781LSep 9 · 11:30J. Svec2.1091111882M. Chalupnicek1.67119911113LSep 9 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.3311119113J. Svec3.25661181WSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892WSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113LSep 8 · 10:30P. Sudek1.33117711113J. Svec3.2561111732LSep 7 · 13:09M. Chalupnicek1.3011117123J. Svec3.404411101LSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272
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