TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115325
Played Sep 12Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111159111311115
Milan Vrabec
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Vrabec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Milan Vrabec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 10-5
Point 94 set 5, 10-5 — our read held Milan Vrabec at 54.0%
94 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Syroha 10–3 Milan Vrabec Milan Vrabec has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:04What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Syroha
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1132 vs Vrabec 1157
Vrabec
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 20% vs Vrabec 60%
Vrabec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 20% vs Vrabec 70%
Vrabec
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha -3 · Vrabec -1
Syroha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Syroha) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vrabec form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.44 / Vrabec 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Syroha)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115325
Syroha1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 80 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Vrabec2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog29% won 26 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha8wins
AwayVrabec2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha77.8%7 of 9
AwayVrabecn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha9Vrabec1n = 10Syroha took 9 of 10
S2Syroha5Vrabec5n = 10split evenly
S3Syroha8Vrabec2n = 10Syroha took 8 of 10
S4Syroha2Vrabec4n = 6Vrabec took 4 of 6
S5Syroha3Vrabec1n = 4Syroha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaVrabecS − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.832.2+7.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaVrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 671 vs 174 / 34349.9%50.7%335 / 671 vs 174 / 343Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.44/Vrabec 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 07:30M. Syroha44117114113M. Vrabec4451191182
WJun 7 · 07:00M. Syroha505111110133M. Vrabec48116812112
WMay 17 · 08:58M. Syroha341112113M. Vrabec2481060
LMay 17 · 07:00M. Syroha48119612102M. Vrabec473111110123
WDec 31 · 21:30M. Syroha331111113M. Vrabec214980
WDec 19 · 12:30M. Syroha47118116113M. Vrabec3581121132
WMay 4 · 24:00M. Syroha331111113M. Vrabec246990
LMay 2 · 12:00M. Syroha32116961M. Vrabec3851111113
WMar 22 · 19:00M. Syroha44111111113M. Vrabec31813731
WJan 11 · 10:30M. Syroha331111113M. Vrabec104510
M. Syroha10
LSep 12 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.73111169113M. Syroha2.0097111172LSep 11 · 17:00M. Syroha2.0013630V. Stach1.701511113LSep 11 · 16:00M. Syroha2.00111262122V. Stach1.733101111143WSep 11 · 15:30M. Regner1.9161111422M. Syroha1.80118911113LSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha1.679570J. Svec2.101111113LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113
M. Vrabec10
LSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 7 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.5811114113D. Mutl2.25971151WSep 7 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.61111111113A. Hejduk2.20841371LSep 7 · 07:00M. Vrabec3.75951141J. Srba1.2511117113WSep 7 · 06:00D. Mutl2.200460M. Vrabec1.611111113WSep 6 · 09:30M. Vrabec1.2811312113J. Martinek3.257111051WSep 6 · 08:30M. Smesny2.751041181M. Vrabec1.4012117113LSep 6 · 07:30M. Vrabec2.2015490L. Novotny1.611711113WSep 6 · 06:30J. Martinek2.752950M. Vrabec1.401111113WSep 3 · 09:29L. Novotny1.4012101371M. Vrabec2.75141211113
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