TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114413
Played Sep 12Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911117116118––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 66.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 50–86 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Svec has won 50 of their 136 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:34What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Grohsgott
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-86 in 136
Grohsgott
Wrong
gap of 36 in 136, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1281 vs Grohsgott 1229
Svec
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 80% vs Grohsgott 40%
Svec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 50% vs Grohsgott 30%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec +2 · Grohsgott +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Grohsgott) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 2.20 / Grohsgott 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Grohsgott)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114413
Svec2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Grohsgott1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 156 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it97% 90 of 93
Up 1–0, closes it83% 118 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec2wins
AwayGrohsgott8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec33.3%2 of 6
AwayGrohsgott100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec6Grohsgott4n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S2Svec6Grohsgott4n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S3Svec5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S4Svec1Grohsgott6n = 7Grohsgott took 6 of 7
S5Svec0Grohsgott5n = 5Grohsgott took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecGrohsgottS − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.038.4−3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime392 / 846 vs 749 / 153346.3%48.9%392 / 846 vs 749 / 1533Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottSvec 2.20/Grohsgott 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 24 · 06:00J. Svec341112113J. Grohsgott2171040
WAug 14 · 06:00J. Svec331111113J. Grohsgott173770
LAug 11 · 07:30J. Svec32931191J. Grohsgott3911116113
LAug 7 · 14:00J. Svec3511114452J. Grohsgott46851111113
LJul 29 · 18:30J. Svec165740J. Grohsgott331111113
LJul 21 · 11:30J. Svec4111711842J. Grohsgott43711311113
LJul 18 · 16:30J. Svec4411136862J. Grohsgott539111111113
LJul 14 · 07:30J. Svec4261151192J. Grohsgott45113119113
LJun 27 · 19:00J. Svec31761171J. Grohsgott4011117113
LJun 26 · 16:30J. Svec42111161042J. Grohsgott47761112113
J. Svec10
WSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 11 · 17:30M. Regner1.635260J. Svec2.131111113LSep 11 · 16:30J. Svec1.8315660M. Regner1.831711113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Svec1.57111198113V. Stach2.2576111182WSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha1.679570J. Svec2.101111113LSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781LSep 9 · 11:30J. Svec2.1091111882M. Chalupnicek1.67119911113LSep 9 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.3311119113J. Svec3.25661181WSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 12 · 16:00J. Grohsgott1.6711112M. Vrabec2.10570WSep 12 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.73111169113M. Syroha2.0097111172LSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113WSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110LSep 11 · 12:00M. Chalupnicek1.4011611113J. Grohsgott2.75511971LSep 11 · 11:00Z. Zikmunda1.671111113J. Grohsgott2.107980LSep 11 · 10:30J. Grohsgott3.0061113652P. Kulhanek1.361161111113
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