TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13109964
Played Sep 11Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1517611611––––
Milan Regner
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Milan Regner below
Set 1 · 15-17
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 66 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Svec at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 6–5 Milan Regner Milan Regner has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:43What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Regner
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1233 vs Regner 1243
Regner
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 40% vs Regner 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 40% vs Regner 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec +2 · Regner -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Regner form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.83 / Regner 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svec)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13109964
Svec1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Regner1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvec5wins
AwayRegner5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec100%5 of 5
AwayRegner100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S2Svec5Regner5n = 10split evenly
S3Svec7Regner3n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S4Svec6Regner0n = 6Svec took 6 of 6
S5Svec0Regner4n = 4Regner took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvecRegnerS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.338.1+3.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecRegnerBasisWin rate · lifetime394 / 847 vs 245 / 52846.5%46.4%394 / 847 vs 245 / 528Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecSvec 1.83/Regner 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Regner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 20:30J. Svec—1117113M. Regner—81590
WAug 29 · 08:30J. Svec—11911113M. Regner—511291
LAug 28 · 16:30J. Svec—861111112M. Regner—111197133
WAug 25 · 12:59J. Svec—11119123M. Regner—5711101
WAug 25 · 12:30J. Svec—1412113M. Regner—121060
LJun 22 · 08:30J. Svec—88111592M. Regner—1111713113
WJun 2 · 10:00J. Svec—1212113M. Regner—101080
LMay 29 · 12:30J. Svec—81090M. Regner—1112113
LMay 26 · 12:30J. Svec—69111182M. Regner—111196113
LMar 16 · 10:30J. Svec—81191272M. Regner—1141110113
J. Svec10
WSep 11 · 17:30M. Regner1.635260J. Svec2.131111113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Svec1.57111198113V. Stach2.2576111182WSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha1.679570J. Svec2.101111113LSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781LSep 9 · 11:30J. Svec2.1091111882M. Chalupnicek1.67119911113LSep 9 · 10:30P. Kulhanek1.3311119113J. Svec3.25661181WSep 8 · 12:59J. Svec1.573111411113L. Madle2.2511316892WSep 8 · 12:30L. Madle2.257890J. Svec1.571111113LSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113
M. Regner10
LSep 11 · 17:30M. Regner1.635260J. Svec2.131111113LSep 11 · 15:30M. Regner1.9161111422M. Syroha1.80118911113WSep 11 · 14:30V. Stach2.3878110M. Regner1.531111133LSep 9 · 09:28M. Regner1.309680J. Grohsgott3.401111113LSep 9 · 08:30M. Regner1.3368121182L. Madle3.251111109113WSep 9 · 07:00M. Regner1.5311511113L. Forman2.38611271WSep 9 · 06:00J. Grohsgott3.009760M. Regner1.361111113WSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113LSep 7 · 12:30M. Lubas1.731111113M. Regner2.004440WSep 7 · 11:30M. Regner1.611111113M. Vaclavik2.205540
Upcoming Matches
J. Svec
M. Regner
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