TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13152591
Played Sep 19Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611611––––
Pavel Berdych
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 50 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 17–33 Pavel Berdych Jiri Grohsgott has won 17 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Berdych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-33 in 50
Berdych
Correct
gap of 16 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1193 vs Berdych 1278
Berdych
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 20% vs Berdych 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 30% vs Berdych 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -2 · Berdych +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Berdych) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.63 / Berdych 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Berdych)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13152591
Grohsgott2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 134 of 352
Down 0–1, comes back23% 43 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 111
Berdych1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott2wins
AwayBerdych8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott66.7%2 of 3
AwayBerdych100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott3Berdych7n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S2Grohsgott3Berdych7n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S3Grohsgott3Berdych7n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S4Grohsgott2Berdych3n = 5Berdych took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottBerdychG − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.136.2−6.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime735 / 1511 vs 210 / 43448.6%48.4%735 / 1511 vs 210 / 434Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerdychGrohsgott 2.63/Berdych 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Berdych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Berdych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 19 · 23:00J. Grohsgott175660P. Berdych331111113
LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott48791111102P. Berdych44111146123
LJul 21 · 17:30J. Grohsgott391611571P. Berdych4818811113
LJul 21 · 15:30J. Grohsgott161690P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 14:00J. Grohsgott23113631P. Berdych3631111113
WJul 18 · 17:30J. Grohsgott331111113P. Berdych219570
LJul 18 · 15:30J. Grohsgott33711691P. Berdych4211911113
LJul 17 · 01:00J. Grohsgott2511860P. Berdych351311113
LJul 15 · 19:30J. Grohsgott2551190P. Berdych351113113
WJun 27 · 18:30J. Grohsgott4211911113P. Berdych35711891
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 19 · 22:00M. Novotny1.5011136113J. Grohsgott2.505111161LSep 17 · 21:00J. Svec2.3813119113J. Grohsgott1.531181131WSep 17 · 20:30J. Grohsgott1.611091111113J. Svec2.2012117582LSep 17 · 19:00J. Grohsgott2.205890M. Barta1.611111113LSep 17 · 18:00J. Strnad1.301111113J. Grohsgott3.400930WSep 17 · 08:58M. Vaclavik1.67912781J. Grohsgott2.10111011113LSep 17 · 08:30J. Grohsgott1.8078100M. Vaclavik1.911111123LSep 17 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.10711791V. Sr1.6711911113LSep 17 · 06:00J. Strnad1.4011119113J. Grohsgott2.75451121WSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113
P. Berdych10
WSep 19 · 13:12V. Sr1.801181081P. Berdych1.9151112113LSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861LSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr2.00511711113P. Berdych1.7311711482LSep 19 · 10:30P. Berdych2.1041161162J. Strnad1.67118119113LSep 14 · 17:00P. Kulhanek1.5061111123P. Berdych2.501159101LSep 14 · 16:30J. Strnad1.7341111113P. Berdych2.00117921LSep 14 · 15:30P. Berdych2.20611341P. Kulhanek1.6111911113LSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641LSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:30P. Berdych1.671111133V. Sr2.1074110
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