TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153797
Played Sep 19Finished
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511117711114118
Pavel Berdych
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 86 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 16–16 Pavel Berdych Dead even across their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Berdych
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-16 in 32
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1323 vs Berdych 1269
Sr
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 60% vs Berdych 0%
Sr
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 50% vs Berdych 20%
Sr
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr -2 · Berdych -6
Berdych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 2.00 / Berdych 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sr)+7.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153797
Sr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 72 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Berdych1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 57 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayBerdych6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr66.7%2 of 3
AwayBerdych71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr3Berdych7n = 10Berdych took 7 of 10
S2Sr2Berdych8n = 10Berdych took 8 of 10
S3Sr7Berdych3n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S4Sr3Berdych3n = 6split evenly
S5Sr2Berdych2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrBerdychS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.838.4−3.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 982 vs 208 / 43046.8%48.4%460 / 982 vs 208 / 430Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 2.00/Berdych 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr46131111113P. Berdych30155641
LSep 12 · 20:30V. Sr2274110P. Berdych351111133
LAug 9 · 14:30V. Sr30641371P. Berdych44111111113
LJul 21 · 16:00V. Sr227870P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 17:30V. Sr235990P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 16:00V. Sr3654111152P. Berdych50111189113
LJul 18 · 16:00V. Sr40124111032P. Berdych471011312113
WJun 15 · 20:30V. Sr46671111113P. Berdych4511117792
WMay 16 · 17:00V. Sr491151111113P. Berdych4661171392
WMay 16 · 15:30V. Sr341112113P. Berdych2151060
V. Sr10
LSep 19 · 10:00M. Stefek1.3681111113V. Sr3.00119551LSep 17 · 09:30V. Sr2.0061111772J. Strnad1.73114911113WSep 17 · 08:00J. Strnad1.61671161V. Sr2.2011118113WSep 17 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.10711791V. Sr1.6711911113WSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr1.50136116113M. Vaclavik2.50111171172LSep 16 · 13:30J. Strnad1.671114113V. Sr2.1081260LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:30V. Sr2.101111123M. Chalupnicek1.6758100WSep 16 · 10:30P. Kulhanek2.00116841V. Sr1.7391111113LSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161
P. Berdych10
LSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861LSep 19 · 10:30P. Berdych2.1041161162J. Strnad1.67118119113LSep 14 · 17:00P. Kulhanek1.5061111123P. Berdych2.501159101LSep 14 · 16:30J. Strnad1.7341111113P. Berdych2.00117921LSep 14 · 15:30P. Berdych2.20611341P. Kulhanek1.6111911113LSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641LSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:30P. Berdych1.671111133V. Sr2.1074110WSep 12 · 19:00P. Berdych2.25111110153M. Novotny1.579812131LSep 12 · 18:00J. Strnad1.9171112113P. Berdych1.801151011
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