TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139689
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1964
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711118611––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Strnad 1964 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Strnad 1964 at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 78–79 Vaclav Hruska Sr Jaroslav Strnad 1964 has won 78 of their 157 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Strnad
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
78-79 in 157
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1532 vs Sr 1346
Strnad
Wrong
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 100% vs Sr 60%
Strnad
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 100% vs Sr 60%
Strnad
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad +5 · Sr +2
Strnad
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Strnad) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.61 / Sr 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Strnad)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139689
Strnad1.61
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 126 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it93% 68 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it73% 96 of 131
Sr2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 71 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrnad8wins
AwaySr2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrnad88.9%8 of 9
AwaySrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strnad9Sr1n = 10Strnad took 9 of 10
S2Strnad7Sr3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10
S3Strnad6Sr4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10
S4Strnad3Sr3n = 6split evenly
S5Strnad2Sr1n = 3Strnad took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrnadSrStrnad − SrBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.030.9+9.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadSrBasisWin rate · lifetime554 / 1121 vs 462 / 98449.4%47%554 / 1121 vs 462 / 984Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrnadStrnad 1.61/Sr 2.20
Miss
What we said
58.5%
Strnad · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad351111133V. Sr1935110
WSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad4211119113V. Sr35991161
WSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad4111811113V. Sr31811571
LSep 12 · 19:30J. Strnad341111481V. Sr4381311113
WAug 18 · 22:00J. Strnad501111107113V. Sr4597121162
WAug 17 · 16:30J. Strnad331111113V. Sr169430
WAug 16 · 12:30J. Strnad331111113V. Sr229760
LAug 15 · 20:59J. Strnad4671181192V. Sr44114117113
WAug 15 · 18:30J. Strnad531112118113V. Sr3521431152
WAug 13 · 06:30J. Strnad331111113V. Sr197840
J. Strnad10
WSep 17 · 07:30M. Vaclavik2.0011119792J. Strnad1.73261111113WSep 17 · 06:00J. Strnad1.4011119113J. Grohsgott2.75451121WSep 16 · 13:30J. Strnad1.671114113V. Sr2.1081260WSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:00J. Strnad1.731211113P. Kulhanek2.0010790WSep 16 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.257811111J. Strnad1.5711118133WSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161WSep 14 · 16:30J. Strnad1.7341111113P. Berdych2.00117921WSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad1.8011811113V. Sr1.91811571WSep 14 · 14:00P. Kulhanek2.0038111172J. Strnad1.73111167113
V. Sr10
WSep 17 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.10711791V. Sr1.6711911113WSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr1.50136116113M. Vaclavik2.50111171172LSep 16 · 13:30J. Strnad1.671114113V. Sr2.1081260LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:30V. Sr2.101111123M. Chalupnicek1.6758100WSep 16 · 10:30P. Kulhanek2.00116841V. Sr1.7391111113LSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161WSep 14 · 16:00P. Kulhanek2.00119931V. Sr1.7331111113LSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad1.8011811113V. Sr1.91811571WSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641
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