TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139780
Played Sep 17Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119711911––
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 21–23 Vaclav Hruska Sr Jiri Grohsgott has won 21 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-23 in 44
Sr
Correct
gap of 2 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1241 vs Sr 1364
Sr
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 60% vs Sr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 40% vs Sr 60%
Sr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -1 · Sr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 2.10 / Sr 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sr)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139780
Grohsgott2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 134 of 352
Down 0–1, comes back23% 43 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 110
Sr1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 90 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it72% 67 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGrohsgott3wins
AwaySr7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott75%3 of 4
AwaySr100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott4Sr6n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S2Grohsgott5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S3Grohsgott2Sr8n = 10Sr took 8 of 10
S4Grohsgott3Sr1n = 4Grohsgott took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricGrohsgottSrG − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.033.4−1.4per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottSrBasisWin rate · lifetime743 / 1521 vs 463 / 98548.9%47%743 / 1521 vs 463 / 985Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrGrohsgott 2.10/Sr 1.67
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:00J. Grohsgott34711791V. Sr4211911113
LSep 3 · 21:30J. Grohsgott204880V. Sr331111113
LSep 3 · 19:30J. Grohsgott474111111102V. Sr50119135123
LAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2410680V. Sr341211113
LAug 22 · 07:00J. Grohsgott4211391272V. Sr529111110113
LAug 20 · 06:30J. Grohsgott189630V. Sr331111113
LAug 19 · 02:00J. Grohsgott258890V. Sr331111113
WAug 13 · 07:30J. Grohsgott331111113V. Sr132650
WAug 12 · 03:00J. Grohsgott44111111113V. Sr25271331
WAug 11 · 22:00J. Grohsgott331111113V. Sr196850
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 17 · 06:00J. Strnad1.4011119113J. Grohsgott2.75451121WSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:00J. Grohsgott1.671111113M. Vrabec2.105780LSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.73111169113M. Syroha2.0097111172LSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113WSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:00J. Strnad1.501111113J. Grohsgott2.505650LSep 11 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.75791111102P. Berdych1.40111146123LSep 11 · 12:58P. Kulhanek1.361111133J. Grohsgott3.0034110
V. Sr10
WSep 17 · 08:00J. Strnad1.61671161V. Sr2.2011118113WSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr1.50136116113M. Vaclavik2.50111171172LSep 16 · 13:30J. Strnad1.671114113V. Sr2.1081260LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:30V. Sr2.101111123M. Chalupnicek1.6758100WSep 16 · 10:30P. Kulhanek2.00116841V. Sr1.7391111113LSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161WSep 14 · 16:00P. Kulhanek2.00119931V. Sr1.7331111113LSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad1.8011811113V. Sr1.91811571WSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641
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