TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139779
Played Sep 17Finished
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311611117611117
Miroslav Vaclavik
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Vaclavik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Miroslav Vaclavik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Miroslav Vaclavik at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 3–0 Miroslav Vaclavik Miroslav Vaclavik has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:38What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Sr
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1346 vs Vaclavik 1244
Sr
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 40% vs Vaclavik 80%
Vaclavik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 50% vs Vaclavik 70%
Vaclavik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr -2 · Vaclavik +4
Vaclavik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vaclavik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.50 / Vaclavik 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Sr)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13139779
Sr1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 90 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it72% 67 of 93
Vaclavik2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 17 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSr3wins
AwayVaclavik0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSr leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr100%3 of 3
AwayVaclavikn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr3Vaclavik0n = 3Sr took 3 of 3
S2Sr1Vaclavik2n = 3Vaclavik took 2 of 3
S3Sr3Vaclavik0n = 3Sr took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSrVaclavikS − VBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match40.029.3+10.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrVaclavikBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 984 vs 100 / 18547%54.1%462 / 984 vs 100 / 185Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.50/Vaclavik 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr47136116113M. Vaclavik47111171172
WAug 16 · 10:30V. Sr4011711113M. Vaclavik33911671
WJul 19 · 14:30V. Sr331111113M. Vaclavik80620
V. Sr10
WSep 17 · 08:00J. Strnad1.61671161V. Sr2.2011118113WSep 17 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.10711791V. Sr1.6711911113LSep 16 · 13:30J. Strnad1.671114113V. Sr2.1081260LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:30V. Sr2.101111123M. Chalupnicek1.6758100WSep 16 · 10:30P. Kulhanek2.00116841V. Sr1.7391111113LSep 14 · 17:30J. Strnad1.8511119113V. Sr1.85991161WSep 14 · 16:00P. Kulhanek2.00119931V. Sr1.7331111113LSep 14 · 15:00J. Strnad1.8011811113V. Sr1.91811571WSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641
M. Vaclavik10
LSep 17 · 07:30M. Vaclavik2.0011119792J. Strnad1.73261111113WSep 11 · 17:30M. Vaclavik1.58111110113R. Buric2.20991231WSep 11 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.501212113J. Hyrsl2.50101050WSep 11 · 15:30R. Buric3.0011511342M. Vaclavik1.36711911113WSep 11 · 14:00M. Vaclavik1.6181111123J. Strnad2.201198101LSep 8 · 09:30M. Vaclavik1.4045111192M. Smesny2.75111174113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Vaclavik1.50118914113L. Novotny2.50911111272WSep 8 · 07:30M. Smesny2.385760M. Vaclavik1.531111113LSep 8 · 06:00M. Vaclavik1.407121091A. Hejduk2.75111012113LSep 7 · 13:00M. Vaclavik2.756950M. Regner1.401111113
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