TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13159591
Played Sep 19Finished
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1158111012811––
Pavel Berdych
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Pavel Berdych below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 17–16 Pavel Berdych Pavel Berdych has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sr beat Berdych 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Berdych form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.80 / Berdych 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sr)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159591
Sr1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 92 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it73% 69 of 95
Berdych1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 19 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayBerdych6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBerdych leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBerdych62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr2Berdych8n = 10Berdych took 8 of 10
S2Sr2Berdych8n = 10Berdych took 8 of 10
S3Sr6Berdych4n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S4Sr4Berdych3n = 7Sr took 4 of 7
S5Sr3Berdych2n = 5Sr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrBerdychS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.940.4−4.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrBerdychBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 982 vs 208 / 43246.8%48.2%460 / 982 vs 208 / 432Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.80/Berdych 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Berdych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr45511711113P. Berdych4111711482
WSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr46131111113P. Berdych30155641
LSep 12 · 20:30V. Sr2274110P. Berdych351111133
LAug 9 · 14:30V. Sr30641371P. Berdych44111111113
LJul 21 · 16:00V. Sr227870P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 17:30V. Sr235990P. Berdych331111113
LJul 19 · 16:00V. Sr3654111152P. Berdych50111189113
LJul 18 · 16:00V. Sr40124111032P. Berdych471011312113
WJun 15 · 20:30V. Sr46671111113P. Berdych4511117792
WMay 16 · 17:00V. Sr491151111113P. Berdych4661171392
V. Sr10
LSep 19 · 12:30V. Sr2.208101411112J. Strnad1.611112129133WSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr2.00511711113P. Berdych1.7311711482LSep 19 · 10:00M. Stefek1.3681111113V. Sr3.00119551LSep 17 · 09:30V. Sr2.0061111772J. Strnad1.73114911113WSep 17 · 08:00J. Strnad1.61671161V. Sr2.2011118113WSep 17 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.10711791V. Sr1.6711911113WSep 17 · 06:30V. Sr1.50136116113M. Vaclavik2.50111171172LSep 16 · 13:30J. Strnad1.671114113V. Sr2.1081260LSep 16 · 12:30J. Strnad1.731111133V. Sr2.0035110WSep 16 · 11:30V. Sr2.101111123M. Chalupnicek1.6758100
P. Berdych10
LSep 19 · 12:00M. Stefek1.33121011113P. Berdych3.251012861LSep 19 · 11:00V. Sr2.00511711113P. Berdych1.7311711482LSep 19 · 10:30P. Berdych2.1041161162J. Strnad1.67118119113LSep 14 · 17:00P. Kulhanek1.5061111123P. Berdych2.501159101LSep 14 · 16:30J. Strnad1.7341111113P. Berdych2.00117921LSep 14 · 15:30P. Berdych2.20611341P. Kulhanek1.6111911113LSep 14 · 14:30V. Sr2.25131111113P. Berdych1.57155641LSep 12 · 21:30J. Strnad1.671111143P. Berdych2.1074120WSep 12 · 20:30P. Berdych1.671111133V. Sr2.1074110WSep 12 · 19:00P. Berdych2.25111110153M. Novotny1.579812131
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