TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13152585
Played Sep 19Finished
Miroslav Novotny
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1151311611116––
Jiri Grohsgott
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Novotny above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 59.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Novotny 2–1 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:26What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Novotny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1234 vs Grohsgott 1226
Novotny
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 20% vs Grohsgott 40%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 20% vs Grohsgott 40%
Grohsgott
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny +1 · Grohsgott -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.50 / Grohsgott 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Novotny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13152585
Novotny1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 14)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 30 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it65% 24 of 37
Grohsgott2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 134 of 352
Down 0–1, comes back23% 43 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNovotny2wins
AwayGrohsgott1wins
Novotny leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny66.7%2 of 3
AwayGrohsgottn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny3Grohsgott0n = 3Novotny took 3 of 3
S2Novotny1Grohsgott2n = 3Grohsgott took 2 of 3
S3Novotny2Grohsgott1n = 3Novotny took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricNovotnyGrohsgottN − GBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match39.331.3+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 333 vs 740 / 151746%48.8%153 / 333 vs 740 / 1517Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.50/Grohsgott 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 18 · 17:08M. Novotny48141211113J. Grohsgott361214551
LAug 18 · 16:00M. Novotny371179101J. Grohsgott4391111123
WAug 10 · 24:30M. Novotny331111113J. Grohsgott154830
M. Novotny10
WSep 14 · 21:00P. Bruzek1.5728111172M. Novotny2.25111166113LSep 14 · 20:30M. Novotny2.20981141J. Framberk1.6111117113LSep 14 · 19:00M. Novotny1.61911121182M. Barta2.20116147113LSep 14 · 18:00P. Bruzek1.5781111113M. Novotny2.25115791LSep 12 · 20:58V. Sr2.001311113M. Novotny1.7311360LSep 12 · 20:00J. Strnad2.751111113M. Novotny1.409960LSep 12 · 19:00P. Berdych2.25111110153M. Novotny1.579812131LSep 12 · 18:30M. Novotny1.50114111072V. Sr2.50611812113WSep 10 · 20:59J. Strnad2.7527111142M. Novotny1.40111156113LSep 10 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00122811113M. Novotny1.73101111762
J. Grohsgott10
LSep 19 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.635660P. Berdych1.441111113LSep 17 · 21:00J. Svec2.3813119113J. Grohsgott1.531181131WSep 17 · 20:30J. Grohsgott1.611091111113J. Svec2.2012117582LSep 17 · 19:00J. Grohsgott2.205890M. Barta1.611111113LSep 17 · 18:00J. Strnad1.301111113J. Grohsgott3.400930WSep 17 · 08:58M. Vaclavik1.67912781J. Grohsgott2.10111011113LSep 17 · 08:30J. Grohsgott1.8078100M. Vaclavik1.911111123LSep 17 · 07:00J. Grohsgott2.10711791V. Sr1.6711911113LSep 17 · 06:00J. Strnad1.4011119113J. Grohsgott2.75451121WSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113
Upcoming Matches
M. Novotny
J. Grohsgott
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.