TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126256
Played Sep 14Finished
Miroslav Novotny
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111161214117811
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Novotny to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Novotny above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 100 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Miroslav Novotny at 57.1%
100 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Novotny 4–3 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1192 vs Barta 1280
Barta
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 0% vs Barta 40%
Barta
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 10% vs Barta 50%
Barta
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny -5 · Barta -2
Novotny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.61 / Barta 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Novotny)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13126256
Novotny1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 31 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it65% 24 of 37
Barta2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 60 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeNovotny4wins
AwayBarta3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderNovotny leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNovotny50%2 of 4
AwayBarta33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Novotny4Barta3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S2Novotny4Barta3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S3Novotny4Barta3n = 7Novotny took 4 of 7
S4Novotny3Barta3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricNovotnyBartaN − BBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.938.1+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 330 vs 231 / 50146.1%46.1%152 / 330 vs 231 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.61/Barta 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 28 · 19:30M. Novotny3812511101M. Barta46101113123
WAug 27 · 17:00M. Novotny46561111133M. Barta46111149112
WAug 27 · 15:30M. Novotny331111113M. Barta228950
WAug 3 · 17:00M. Novotny4291111113M. Barta32119841
LAug 3 · 14:30M. Novotny36119791M. Barta3961111113
WJul 23 · 20:58M. Novotny3711112133M. Barta366811111
LJul 23 · 20:30M. Novotny4081111642M. Barta46115811113
M. Novotny10
LSep 14 · 18:00P. Bruzek1.5781111113M. Novotny2.25115791LSep 12 · 20:58V. Sr2.001311113M. Novotny1.7311360LSep 12 · 20:00J. Strnad2.751111113M. Novotny1.409960LSep 12 · 19:00P. Berdych2.25111110153M. Novotny1.579812131LSep 12 · 18:30M. Novotny1.50114111072V. Sr2.50611812113WSep 10 · 20:59J. Strnad2.7527111142M. Novotny1.40111156113LSep 10 · 20:00V. Kosar2.00122811113M. Novotny1.73101111762LSep 10 · 19:00J. Strnad3.251111910113M. Novotny1.3399111252LSep 10 · 18:30M. Novotny1.4411116452P. Berdych2.63991111113LSep 6 · 03:30M. Ulrych1.36111111113M. Novotny3.00613161
M. Barta10
LSep 14 · 18:30M. Barta2.75811481J. Framberk1.4011511113LSep 14 · 16:59M. Barta1.4081111982L. Havel2.75115711113WSep 14 · 16:30L. Havel2.389960M. Barta1.531111113WSep 14 · 15:30M. Barta1.91115311123J. Pleskot1.80611117102LSep 14 · 14:30J. Framberk1.501111113M. Barta2.507990LSep 13 · 09:30M. Barta1.8753131172J. Svec1.831111118113WSep 13 · 08:00M. Barta1.441111113F. Trojan2.635950WSep 13 · 07:30M. Bohac2.635121161M. Barta1.4411147113LSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113WSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113
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