TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119535
Played Sep 13Finished
Miroslav Barta
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711811––––
Jiri Svec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Barta above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jiri Svec at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Barta 9–10 Jiri Svec Miroslav Barta has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Barta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barta 1276 vs Svec 1300
Svec
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barta 60% vs Svec 80%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barta 40% vs Svec 60%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barta +2 · Svec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Barta) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarta 1.67 / Svec 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Barta)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119535
Barta1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 74 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Svec2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 54 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back16% 13 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarta4wins
AwaySvec6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSvec leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarta60%3 of 5
AwaySvec80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barta5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S2Barta5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S3Barta3Svec7n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S4Barta3Svec3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartaSvecB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.0−1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartaSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 493 vs 395 / 85046%46.5%227 / 493 vs 395 / 850Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartaBarta 1.67/Svec 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Barta · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta238780J. Svec331111113
WAug 30 · 14:00M. Barta43711311113J. Svec4311711772
WAug 8 · 15:00M. Barta4211119113J. Svec348511101
LJun 26 · 17:00M. Barta33117961J. Svec4291111113
LJun 26 · 15:00M. Barta2610790J. Svec341211113
WMay 24 · 09:30M. Barta331111113J. Svec179170
LMay 24 · 06:30M. Barta51111171392J. Svec548131111113
LApr 10 · 14:00M. Barta27641161J. Svec4111118113
WApr 3 · 17:00M. Barta331111113J. Svec246990
LApr 3 · 15:00M. Barta33811681J. Svec3811511113
M. Barta10
WSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113WSep 12 · 12:30M. Barta1.80115143113L. Havel1.91311121152LSep 12 · 11:00M. Barta4.33910111192J. Kucharcik1.20111253113LSep 12 · 10:00M. Tacinec1.441111113M. Barta2.631540WSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113LSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:30P. Berdych1.4011911113M. Barta2.75611951LSep 11 · 14:00M. Barta2.10101111682J. Strnad1.67126911113WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113
J. Svec10
LSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha1.8391120J. Svec1.831113113WSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 11 · 17:30M. Regner1.635260J. Svec2.131111113LSep 11 · 16:30J. Svec1.8315660M. Regner1.831711113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Svec1.57111198113V. Stach2.2576111182WSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha1.679570J. Svec2.101111113LSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980LSep 9 · 12:30J. Strnad1.4471111113J. Svec2.63115781
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