TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13114722
Played Sep 12Finished
Martin Tacinec
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
111115114––––
Miroslav Barta
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Tacinec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Tacinec above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 43 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Martin Tacinec at 54.0%
43 points played in total.
H2H Martin Tacinec 4–3 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tacinec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tacinec 1433 vs Barta 1249
Tacinec
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tacinec 80% vs Barta 40%
Tacinec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tacinec 60% vs Barta 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tacinec -1 · Barta +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tacinec) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tacinec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTacinec 1.44 / Barta 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Tacinec)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13114722
Tacinec1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 52 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Barta2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 68 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeTacinec4wins
AwayBarta3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderTacinec leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTacinec100%3 of 3
AwayBarta75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tacinec3Barta4n = 7Barta took 4 of 7
S2Tacinec3Barta4n = 7Barta took 4 of 7
S3Tacinec2Barta5n = 7Barta took 5 of 7
S4Tacinec3Barta2n = 5Tacinec took 3 of 5
S5Tacinec3Barta1n = 4Tacinec took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricTacinecBartaT − BBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match38.040.6−2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTacinecBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 292 vs 225 / 48853.8%46.1%157 / 292 vs 225 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TacinecTacinec 1.44/Barta 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Tacinec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tacinec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec—111297123M. Barta—8101111102
WAug 2 · 06:30M. Tacinec—711211113M. Barta—11811572
WJun 7 · 07:00M. Tacinec—11711123M. Barta—9117101
LApr 11 · 14:30M. Tacinec—7190M. Barta—1111113
LMar 28 · 09:00M. Tacinec—811116112M. Barta—115911133
LFeb 21 · 10:30M. Tacinec—9630M. Barta—1111113
WFeb 21 · 09:30M. Tacinec—118911113M. Barta—81111732
M. Tacinec10
LAug 30 · 13:29M. Tacinec1.806111310102J. Briska1.911161112123WAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:30M. Tacinec1.731181015113J. Briska2.00811121362WAug 30 · 10:30D. Priesol1.5361020M. Tacinec2.381112113WAug 22 · 17:30L. Sulava2.10111191192M. Tacinec1.67913113113WAug 22 · 16:00M. Tacinec1.6711911113L. Sulava2.10511571LAug 22 · 15:30L. Havel3.0011511113M. Tacinec1.36911741WAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec1.50111297123M. Barta2.508101111102LAug 16 · 08:59M. Tacinec2.0010970D. Barton1.731211113LAug 16 · 08:00J. Didi1.7371111113M. Tacinec2.00115881
M. Barta10
WSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113LSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:30P. Berdych1.4011911113M. Barta2.75611951LSep 11 · 14:00M. Barta2.10101111682J. Strnad1.67126911113WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LAug 22 · 14:00M. Tacinec1.50111297123M. Barta2.508101111102
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