TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126237
Played Sep 14Finished
Miroslav Barta
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115411811––
Jan Framberk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:51 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Barta above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 69 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jan Framberk at 62.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Barta 2–4 Jan Framberk Miroslav Barta has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Framberk beat Barta 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Framberk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Framberk
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barta 1288 vs Framberk 1398
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barta 40% vs Framberk 60%
Framberk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barta 60% vs Framberk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barta -1 · Framberk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Framberk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Framberk form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarta 2.75 / Framberk 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Framberk)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126237
Barta2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 60 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Framberk1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 40 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBarta2wins
AwayFramberk4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderFramberk leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFramberk80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barta1Framberk5n = 6Framberk took 5 of 6
S2Barta2Framberk4n = 6Framberk took 4 of 6
S3Barta2Framberk4n = 6Framberk took 4 of 6
S4Barta3Framberk0n = 3Barta took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricBartaFramberkB − FBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match33.035.2−2.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartaFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 500 vs 78 / 14646.2%53.4%231 / 500 vs 78 / 146Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkBarta 2.75/Framberk 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 14 · 14:30M. Barta257990J. Framberk331111113
WAug 28 · 21:28M. Barta4212811113J. Framberk321011651
LAug 28 · 18:00M. Barta248880J. Framberk331111113
LAug 27 · 16:00M. Barta4361171272J. Framberk501171110113
LMay 5 · 17:30M. Barta259880J. Framberk331111113
WMay 5 · 14:30M. Barta3961111113J. Framberk30118831
M. Barta10
LSep 14 · 16:59M. Barta1.4081111982L. Havel2.75115711113WSep 14 · 16:30L. Havel2.389960M. Barta1.531111113WSep 14 · 15:30M. Barta1.91115311123J. Pleskot1.80611117102LSep 14 · 14:30J. Framberk1.501111113M. Barta2.507990LSep 13 · 09:30M. Barta1.8753131172J. Svec1.831111118113WSep 13 · 08:00M. Barta1.441111113F. Trojan2.635950WSep 13 · 07:30M. Bohac2.635121161M. Barta1.4411147113LSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113WSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113WSep 12 · 12:30M. Barta1.80115143113L. Havel1.91311121152
J. Framberk10
WSep 14 · 17:30J. Framberk1.731110611113J. Pleskot2.0091211672LSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632WSep 14 · 15:00L. Havel2.2012540J. Framberk1.611411113WSep 14 · 14:30J. Framberk1.501111113M. Barta2.507990LSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071LSep 8 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.73151311123J. Framberk2.0013157101LSep 8 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.4011117113J. Framberk2.75871191WSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101
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