TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130430
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Framberk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191012611116117
Jan Pleskot
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:20 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeJan Pleskot to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Framberk above · Jan Pleskot below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Jan Pleskot at 55.6%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jan Framberk 2–1 Jan Pleskot Jan Pleskot has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Pleskot beat Framberk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:20What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Framberk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Framberk 1389 vs Pleskot 1347
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Framberk 40% vs Pleskot 60%
Pleskot
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Framberk 50% vs Pleskot 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Framberk -1 · Pleskot +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Framberk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Framberk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFramberk 1.73 / Pleskot 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Framberk)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13130430
Framberk1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 40 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Pleskot2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 67 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeFramberk2wins
AwayPleskot1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderFramberk leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Framberk1Pleskot2n = 3Pleskot took 2 of 3
S2Framberk2Pleskot1n = 3Framberk took 2 of 3
S3Framberk3Pleskot0n = 3Framberk took 3 of 3
S4Framberk0Pleskot3n = 3Pleskot took 3 of 3
S5Framberk2Pleskot1n = 3Framberk took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricFramberkPleskotF − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match49.349.0+0.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFramberkPleskotBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 145 vs 290 / 62153.1%46.7%77 / 145 vs 290 / 621Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkFramberk 1.73/Pleskot 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 14 · 16:00J. Framberk4391411632J. Pleskot501112511113
WJul 22 · 16:30J. Framberk5612111111113J. Pleskot48101371352
WMay 27 · 16:30J. Framberk49511146133J. Pleskot491141211112
J. Framberk10
LSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632WSep 14 · 15:00L. Havel2.2012540J. Framberk1.611411113WSep 14 · 14:30J. Framberk1.501111113M. Barta2.507990LSep 8 · 02:59R. Bartunek1.6171112113J. Framberk2.201141071LSep 8 · 02:30R. Bartunek1.73151311123J. Framberk2.0013157101LSep 8 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.4011117113J. Framberk2.75871191WSep 7 · 23:30J. Framberk2.0011118143T. Regner1.739811121LSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123WSep 3 · 03:04J. Framberk2.6351111123J. Strnad1.441136101WSep 3 · 02:30J. Framberk1.5311613123J. Strnad2.3881111101
J. Pleskot10
WSep 14 · 16:00J. Pleskot2.001112511113J. Framberk1.7391411632LSep 14 · 15:30M. Barta1.91115311123J. Pleskot1.80611117102WSep 14 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.83118117113L. Havel1.8351181162WSep 11 · 09:04L. Sulava1.70911791J. Pleskot2.0211611113LSep 11 · 08:00M. Stefek1.8311411113J. Pleskot1.83411881WSep 11 · 07:00L. Sulava1.6011133822J. Pleskot2.157111111113LSep 11 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.8013137101Z. Zikmunda1.91151111123WSep 9 · 09:28J. Pleskot2.75111265113V. Dolezal1.40910111192LSep 9 · 08:30V. Dolezal1.331117155113J. Pleskot3.25519131192WSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141
Upcoming Matches
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