TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098834
Played Sep 9Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11517191513511119
Jan Pleskot
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:22 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Jan Pleskot below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 17-19
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 116 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 64.7%
116 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 22–6 Jan Pleskot Jan Pleskot has won 6 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-6 in 28
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 16 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1439 vs Pleskot 1306
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Pleskot 100%
Pleskot
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 60% vs Pleskot 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +1 · Pleskot +5
Pleskot
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pleskot form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.33 / Pleskot 3.25
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Dolezal)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098834
Dolezal1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 138 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 126
Pleskot3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 72 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal10wins
AwayPleskot0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezal100%7 of 7
AwayPleskot0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal7Pleskot3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Dolezal9Pleskot1n = 10Dolezal took 9 of 10
S3Dolezal6Pleskot4n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S4Dolezal4Pleskot3n = 7Dolezal took 4 of 7
S5Dolezal4Pleskot0n = 4Dolezal took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalPleskotD − PBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.134.1+10.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalPleskotBasisWin rate · lifetime375 / 762 vs 291 / 62449.2%46.6%375 / 762 vs 291 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.33/Pleskot 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 08:58V. Dolezal—1114123J. Pleskot—912100
WAug 13 · 06:00V. Dolezal—9111111113J. Pleskot—11813792
WAug 8 · 03:28V. Dolezal—11118113J. Pleskot—671171
WAug 8 · 02:30V. Dolezal—1111143J. Pleskot—48120
WJun 18 · 07:30V. Dolezal—51111123J. Pleskot—1136101
WJun 15 · 02:30V. Dolezal—1191314123J. Pleskot—6111116102
WJun 3 · 23:30V. Dolezal—111199133J. Pleskot—661111112
WApr 18 · 02:30V. Dolezal—1111610113J. Pleskot—60111252
WMar 22 · 24:30V. Dolezal—81111113J. Pleskot—118571
WMar 10 · 04:28V. Dolezal—1111113J. Pleskot—4270
V. Dolezal10
LSep 9 · 09:28J. Pleskot2.75111265113V. Dolezal1.40910111192WSep 9 · 07:00V. Dolezal1.61411811123M. Stefek2.20116117102LSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690WSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113LSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123WSep 8 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.4011117113J. Framberk2.75871191WSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek2.00611671V. Dolezal1.7311511113WSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113
J. Pleskot10
WSep 9 · 09:28J. Pleskot2.75111265113V. Dolezal1.40910111192WSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:30M. Stefek1.83811101172J. Pleskot1.83119129113WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161
Upcoming Matches
V. Dolezal
J. Pleskot
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