TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13097975
Played Sep 9Finished
Julius Didi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116119––––
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJulius Didi above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 63.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Julius Didi 5–8 Vaclav Dolezal Julius Didi has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-8 in 13
Dolezal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Didi 1398 vs Dolezal 1431
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Didi 40% vs Dolezal 80%
Dolezal
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Didi 30% vs Dolezal 50%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Didi -2 · Dolezal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDidi 2.38 / Dolezal 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13097975
Didi2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 96 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back19% 20 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 60
Dolezal1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 138 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDidi4wins
AwayDolezal6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDidi80%4 of 5
AwayDolezal100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Didi5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S2Didi2Dolezal8n = 10Dolezal took 8 of 10
S3Didi5Dolezal5n = 10split evenly
S4Didi2Dolezal4n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
S5Didi2Dolezal1n = 3Didi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDidiDolezalDidi − DolezalBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.837.6−2.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDidiDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 759 vs 374 / 76151.4%49.2%390 / 759 vs 374 / 761Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDidi 2.38/Dolezal 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi—1111113V. Dolezal—9690
LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi—9850V. Dolezal—1111113
WSep 4 · 19:30J. Didi—1141211113V. Dolezal—71114882
LSep 3 · 03:04J. Didi—5111151V. Dolezal—11139113
WSep 2 · 23:30J. Didi—118119123V. Dolezal—411711102
LAug 22 · 11:30J. Didi—881141V. Dolezal—11119113
WAug 20 · 02:30J. Didi—11118113V. Dolezal—461141
LJul 9 · 18:30J. Didi—10930V. Dolezal—1211113
LJun 25 · 12:58J. Didi—11911592V. Dolezal—811911113
LJun 25 · 11:30J. Didi—7960V. Dolezal—1111113
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110
V. Dolezal10
WSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113LSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123WSep 8 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.4011117113J. Framberk2.75871191WSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek2.00611671V. Dolezal1.7311511113WSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113WSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151
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