TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13103278
Played Sep 9Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191210611511119
Vaclav Dolezal
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9
95 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 6–23 Vaclav Dolezal Jan Pleskot has won 6 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Dolezal beat Pleskot 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 2.75 / Dolezal 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Dolezal)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13103278
Pleskot2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 72 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 69
Dolezal1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 138 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePleskot0wins
AwayDolezal10wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDolezal leads 10–0, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskot0%0 of 3
AwayDolezal100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot3Dolezal7n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S2Pleskot2Dolezal8n = 10Dolezal took 8 of 10
S3Pleskot4Dolezal6n = 10Dolezal took 6 of 10
S4Pleskot4Dolezal4n = 8split evenly
S5Pleskot0Dolezal5n = 5Dolezal took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPleskotDolezalP − DBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.546.7−8.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 625 vs 376 / 76346.6%49.3%291 / 625 vs 376 / 763Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalPleskot 2.75/Dolezal 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.6%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 08:30J. Pleskot—519131192V. Dolezal—1117155113
LAug 13 · 08:58J. Pleskot—912100V. Dolezal—1114123
LAug 13 · 06:00J. Pleskot—11813792V. Dolezal—9111111113
LAug 8 · 03:28J. Pleskot—671171V. Dolezal—11118113
LAug 8 · 02:30J. Pleskot—48120V. Dolezal—1111143
LJun 18 · 07:30J. Pleskot—1136101V. Dolezal—51111123
LJun 15 · 02:30J. Pleskot—6111116102V. Dolezal—1191314123
LJun 3 · 23:30J. Pleskot—661111112V. Dolezal—111199133
LApr 18 · 02:30J. Pleskot—60111252V. Dolezal—1111610113
LMar 22 · 24:30J. Pleskot—118571V. Dolezal—81111113
J. Pleskot10
LSep 9 · 08:30V. Dolezal1.331117155113J. Pleskot3.25519131192WSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:30M. Stefek1.83811101172J. Pleskot1.83119129113WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181WSep 2 · 15:00J. Pleskot1.7314118113P. Franc2.001261171LSep 2 · 14:00M. Barta1.91611117113J. Pleskot1.8011851182LAug 31 · 16:59J. Pleskot1.4451281172M. Syroha2.631110116113LAug 31 · 16:00J. Pleskot1.736101171M. Barta2.0011126113LAug 31 · 15:30L. Sulava1.6581113113J. Pleskot1.981181161
V. Dolezal10
WSep 9 · 08:30V. Dolezal1.331117155113J. Pleskot3.25519131192WSep 9 · 07:00V. Dolezal1.61411811123M. Stefek2.20116117102LSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690WSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113LSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123WSep 8 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.4011117113J. Framberk2.75871191WSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek2.00611671V. Dolezal1.7311511113WSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113
Upcoming Matches
J. Pleskot
Nothing scheduled
V. Dolezal
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