TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13098748
Played Sep 9Finished
Vaclav Dolezal
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111168111171210
Martin Stefek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:50 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Dolezal above · Martin Stefek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 91 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 59.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Dolezal 33–17 Martin Stefek Martin Stefek has won 17 of their 50 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-17 in 50
Dolezal
Correct
gap of 16 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1431 vs Stefek 1340
Dolezal
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 60% vs Stefek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 50% vs Stefek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -1 · Stefek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.61 / Stefek 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Dolezal)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13098748
Dolezal1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 138 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it80% 101 of 126
Stefek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 187 of 437
Down 0–1, comes back22% 55 of 246
Down 0–2, comes back7% 11 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDolezal5wins
AwayStefek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDolezaln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStefek62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal2Stefek8n = 10Stefek took 8 of 10
S2Dolezal7Stefek3n = 10Dolezal took 7 of 10
S3Dolezal5Stefek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dolezal4Stefek2n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDolezalStefekD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.334.7+2.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 761 vs 570 / 119749.2%47.6%374 / 761 vs 570 / 1197Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.61/Stefek 2.20
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 01:30V. Dolezal—91111113M. Stefek—115681
LSep 4 · 20:30V. Dolezal—911129102M. Stefek—1191011123
WAug 31 · 02:30V. Dolezal—91117113M. Stefek—1181571
WAug 28 · 03:28V. Dolezal—71111113M. Stefek—116761
WAug 28 · 01:30V. Dolezal—11118113M. Stefek—571151
LAug 24 · 17:30V. Dolezal—10121271M. Stefek—121014113
LAug 24 · 14:30V. Dolezal—91190M. Stefek—1113113
LAug 23 · 12:30V. Dolezal—9650M. Stefek—1111113
WAug 23 · 07:30V. Dolezal—1111113M. Stefek—7360
LAug 21 · 01:00V. Dolezal—10990M. Stefek—1211113
V. Dolezal10
LSep 9 · 06:00J. Didi2.381111113V. Dolezal1.539690WSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113LSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123WSep 8 · 01:00V. Dolezal1.4011117113J. Framberk2.75871191WSep 8 · 24:00R. Bartunek2.00611671V. Dolezal1.7311511113WSep 7 · 22:30T. Regner2.385490V. Dolezal1.531111113LSep 5 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.61711511113V. Dolezal2.2011611862LSep 5 · 02:30V. Dolezal1.731291171O. Kucirek2.0014113113WSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113LSep 5 · 24:00V. Dolezal2.00911861A. Svoboda1.7311611113
M. Stefek10
LSep 9 · 06:30M. Stefek1.83811101172J. Pleskot1.83119129113LSep 8 · 03:30M. Stefek2.00471191V. Dolezal1.7311117113WSep 8 · 02:00V. Dolezal1.614913101M. Stefek2.20111111123WSep 8 · 24:30M. Stefek2.20312111123T. Regner1.611110115102WSep 7 · 23:00M. Stefek1.91111166113R. Bartunek1.8096111162WSep 7 · 22:00J. Framberk2.00105100M. Stefek1.731211123LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450LSep 5 · 01:30M. Stefek2.00115681V. Dolezal1.7391111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.