TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124148
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Pleskot
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115811118711116
Ladislav Havel 1956
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeJan Pleskot to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pleskot above · Ladislav Havel 1956 below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 89 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jan Pleskot at 59.4%
89 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pleskot 19–15 Ladislav Havel 1956 Ladislav Havel 1956 has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Havel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-15 in 34
Pleskot
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pleskot 1336 vs Havel 1354
Havel
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pleskot 60% vs Havel 20%
Pleskot
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pleskot 70% vs Havel 30%
Pleskot
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pleskot +1 · Havel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Havel) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPleskot 1.83 / Havel 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Havel)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124148
Pleskot1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Havel1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePleskot8wins
AwayHavel2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPleskot leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePleskot87.5%7 of 8
AwayHaveln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pleskot8Havel2n = 10Pleskot took 8 of 10
S2Pleskot6Havel4n = 10Pleskot took 6 of 10
S3Pleskot6Havel4n = 10Pleskot took 6 of 10
S4Pleskot3Havel1n = 4Pleskot took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPleskotHavelP − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.030.2+6.8per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPleskotHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 622 vs 263 / 56046.8%47%291 / 622 vs 263 / 560Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavelPleskot 1.83/Havel 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Havel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pleskot won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 07:30J. Pleskot24101040L. Havel351212113
LAug 9 · 09:00J. Pleskot331174111L. Havel4161111133
WAug 9 · 06:00J. Pleskot48117811113L. Havel3761111452
WAug 7 · 22:00J. Pleskot331111113L. Havel238780
WAug 1 · 07:30J. Pleskot45121111113L. Havel40149891
WMay 29 · 15:30J. Pleskot331111113L. Havel218580
WApr 9 · 06:30J. Pleskot331111113L. Havel205780
WApr 4 · 09:00J. Pleskot331111113L. Havel218760
WApr 4 · 06:00J. Pleskot331111113L. Havel144730
WMar 29 · 09:28J. Pleskot5511101013113L. Havel50712121182
J. Pleskot10
WSep 11 · 09:04L. Sulava1.70911791J. Pleskot2.0211611113LSep 11 · 08:00M. Stefek1.8311411113J. Pleskot1.83411881WSep 11 · 07:00L. Sulava1.6011133822J. Pleskot2.157111111113LSep 11 · 06:30J. Pleskot1.8013137101Z. Zikmunda1.91151111123WSep 9 · 09:28J. Pleskot2.75111265113V. Dolezal1.40910111192LSep 9 · 08:30V. Dolezal1.331117155113J. Pleskot3.25519131192WSep 9 · 07:30J. Pleskot1.5711118113J. Didi2.25961141WSep 9 · 06:30M. Stefek1.83811101172J. Pleskot1.83119129113WSep 2 · 17:30J. Pleskot1.84311911123M. Barta1.76119116102WSep 2 · 16:30J. Pleskot1.5011117113M. Syroha2.50451181
L. Havel10
LSep 13 · 17:00L. Havel1.639670M. Ulrych2.131111113LSep 13 · 16:30L. Havel2.753540L. Sulava1.401111113WSep 13 · 15:00L. Havel1.831111113M. Ulrych1.834470LSep 13 · 14:00J. Novotny1.4041111113L. Havel2.75112631LSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113LSep 12 · 12:30M. Barta1.80115143113L. Havel1.91311121152WSep 12 · 11:30L. Havel3.00811118113M. Tacinec1.3611621132LSep 12 · 10:30J. Kucharcik1.22811518113L. Havel4.00119111662LAug 31 · 09:28L. Havel1.679121071A. Svoboda2.10111012113WAug 31 · 08:30L. Havel2.10111211113Z. Zikmunda1.67714841
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