TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119655
Played Sep 13Finished
Jaroslav Novotny
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411112116113––
Ladislav Havel 1956
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Havel 1956 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Novotny above · Ladislav Havel 1956 below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 59 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Ladislav Havel 1956 at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Novotny 0–1 Ladislav Havel 1956 Jaroslav Novotny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:34What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Novotny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Novotny 1433 vs Havel 1337
Novotny
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Novotny 60% vs Havel 20%
Novotny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Novotny 50% vs Havel 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Novotny -1 · Havel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNovotny 1.40 / Havel 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Novotny)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119655
Novotny1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it61% 14 of 23
Havel2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 47 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNovotny0wins
AwayHavel1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHavel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNovotnyHavelN − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.044.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNovotnyHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 154 vs 264 / 55951.3%47.2%79 / 154 vs 264 / 559Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyNovotny 1.40/Havel 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LFeb 10 · 11:00J. Novotny4411811772L. Havel44811311113
J. Novotny10
LSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:00A. Svoboda1.8391111662J. Novotny1.83117611113WAug 24 · 13:07A. Svoboda1.8361111682J. Novotny1.83116711113LAug 24 · 12:30R. Hasmanda2.00811611113J. Novotny1.7311911392WAug 24 · 11:30J. Novotny1.571111811113M. Stefek2.2531311642LAug 24 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.101111133J. Novotny1.6786110WAug 23 · 17:28R. Hasmanda2.00117111262J. Novotny1.73511714113LAug 23 · 16:30R. Hasmanda2.1091111113J. Novotny1.67118591
L. Havel10
LSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113LSep 12 · 12:30M. Barta1.80115143113L. Havel1.91311121152WSep 12 · 11:30L. Havel3.00811118113M. Tacinec1.3611621132LSep 12 · 10:30J. Kucharcik1.22811518113L. Havel4.00119111662LAug 31 · 09:28L. Havel1.679121071A. Svoboda2.10111012113WAug 31 · 08:30L. Havel2.10111211113Z. Zikmunda1.67714841WAug 31 · 07:00L. Havel1.801111113M. Ulrych1.918980WAug 31 · 06:00A. Svoboda1.737990L. Havel2.001111113WAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100LAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113
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