TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124171
Played Sep 13Finished
Miroslav Barta
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5113111311118711
Jiri Svec
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslav Barta above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Barta 9–10 Jiri Svec Miroslav Barta has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Svec beat Barta 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Svec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barta 1305 vs Svec 1297
Barta
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barta 80% vs Svec 60%
Barta
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barta 50% vs Svec 70%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barta +2 · Svec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Svec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarta 1.87 / Svec 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Svec)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124171
Barta1.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 60 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Svec1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarta4wins
AwaySvec6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSvec leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarta60%3 of 5
AwaySvec80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barta5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S2Barta5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S3Barta3Svec7n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S4Barta3Svec3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartaSvecB − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.436.0−1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartaSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 495 vs 396 / 85246.3%46.5%229 / 495 vs 396 / 852Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvecBarta 1.87/Svec 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta238780J. Svec331111113
WAug 30 · 14:00M. Barta43711311113J. Svec4311711772
WAug 8 · 15:00M. Barta4211119113J. Svec348511101
LJun 26 · 17:00M. Barta33117961J. Svec4291111113
LJun 26 · 15:00M. Barta2610790J. Svec341211113
WMay 24 · 09:30M. Barta331111113J. Svec179170
LMay 24 · 06:30M. Barta51111171392J. Svec548131111113
LApr 10 · 14:00M. Barta27641161J. Svec4111118113
WApr 3 · 17:00M. Barta331111113J. Svec246990
LApr 3 · 15:00M. Barta33811681J. Svec3811511113
M. Barta10
WSep 13 · 08:00M. Barta1.441111113F. Trojan2.635950WSep 13 · 07:30M. Bohac2.635121161M. Barta1.4411147113LSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113WSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113WSep 12 · 12:30M. Barta1.80115143113L. Havel1.91311121152LSep 12 · 11:00M. Barta4.33910111192J. Kucharcik1.20111253113LSep 12 · 10:00M. Tacinec1.441111113M. Barta2.631540WSep 11 · 17:00J. Grohsgott2.35111060M. Barta1.531312113LSep 11 · 16:00M. Barta1.67621111112J. Grohsgott2.10111137133LSep 11 · 15:30P. Berdych1.4011911113M. Barta2.75611951
J. Svec10
LSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec1.8081170M. Bohac1.911113113WSep 13 · 07:00J. Svec2.75611314113F. Trojan1.40119111252WSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113LSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha1.8391120J. Svec1.831113113WSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 11 · 17:30M. Regner1.635260J. Svec2.131111113LSep 11 · 16:30J. Svec1.8315660M. Regner1.831711113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Svec1.57111198113V. Stach2.2576111182
Upcoming Matches
M. Barta1 of 1 neutral
J. Svec
Nothing scheduled
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