TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119965
Played Sep 13Finished
Jiri Svec
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111193111412115
Frantisek Trojan
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Trojan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Frantisek Trojan below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 93 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Frantisek Trojan at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 3–3 Frantisek Trojan Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:07What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Trojan
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1313 vs Trojan 1336
Trojan
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 80% vs Trojan 60%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 70% vs Trojan 50%
Svec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec +1 · Trojan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Trojan) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trojan form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 2.75 / Trojan 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Trojan)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119965
Svec2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 54 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back16% 13 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Trojan1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 9 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSvec3wins
AwayTrojan3wins
3 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvecn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTrojan60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec1Trojan5n = 6Trojan took 5 of 6
S2Svec3Trojan3n = 6split evenly
S3Svec2Trojan4n = 6Trojan took 4 of 6
S4Svec2Trojan3n = 5Trojan took 3 of 5
S5Svec3Trojan0n = 3Svec took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSvecTrojanS − TBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match38.343.7−5.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecTrojanBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 851 vs 108 / 21246.5%50.9%396 / 851 vs 108 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrojanSvec 2.75/Trojan 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Trojan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 13 · 07:00J. Svec45611314113F. Trojan48119111252
LOct 4 · 18:30J. Svec2316340F. Trojan391811103
LJul 19 · 19:30J. Svec351012581F. Trojan44121011113
WMay 1 · 07:30J. Svec45611116113F. Trojan4211941172
LMar 15 · 10:00J. Svec34771191F. Trojan4111118113
WMar 15 · 07:30J. Svec48119611113F. Trojan4881111992
J. Svec10
WSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113LSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha1.8391120J. Svec1.831113113WSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681WSep 12 · 14:30M. Vrabec3.507380J. Svec1.281111113WSep 11 · 17:30M. Regner1.635260J. Svec2.131111113LSep 11 · 16:30J. Svec1.8315660M. Regner1.831711113WSep 11 · 15:00J. Svec1.57111198113V. Stach2.2576111182WSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha1.679570J. Svec2.101111113LSep 9 · 13:00P. Kulhanek1.401111113J. Svec2.759980
F. Trojan10
WSep 13 · 06:30F. Trojan1.671112113M. Bohac2.1031090LJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820LJul 26 · 12:00F. Trojan2.0010980M. Barta1.731211113WJul 26 · 11:30M. Syroha2.1011811172F. Trojan1.67511115113WJul 26 · 10:00F. Trojan1.8391111113L. Havel1.83116141WJul 25 · 20:58F. Trojan1.25111110113J. Grohsgott3.75571271WJul 25 · 20:30J. Grohsgott3.75311681F. Trojan1.2511911113LJul 25 · 19:30F. Trojan2.0051131162J. Didi1.73119116113LJul 25 · 18:30V. Kosar1.611113133F. Trojan2.20811110LJul 5 · 17:30M. Barta1.611311113F. Trojan2.2011350
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F. Trojan
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