TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12300138
Played Jul 26Finished
Frantisek Trojan
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911811––––
Miroslav Barta
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Trojan above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 57.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Trojan 3–1 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:10What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Barta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Trojan
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trojan 1369 vs Barta 1292
Trojan
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trojan 80% vs Barta 60%
Trojan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trojan 60% vs Barta 80%
Barta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trojan +4 · Barta -1
Trojan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Barta) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trojan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrojan 2.00 / Barta 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Barta)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12300138
Trojan2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 20 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Barta1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 63 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it86% 48 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTrojan3wins
AwayBarta1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderTrojan leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrojan100%3 of 3
AwayBartan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trojan3Barta1n = 4Trojan took 3 of 4
S2Trojan3Barta1n = 4Trojan took 3 of 4
S3Trojan1Barta3n = 4Barta took 3 of 4
S4Trojan2Barta2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricTrojanBartaT − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match41.537.8+3.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrojanBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 251 vs 188 / 41051%45.9%128 / 251 vs 188 / 410Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartaTrojan 2.00/Barta 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Barta · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 5 · 16:00F. Trojan—1111671M. Barta—13811113
WJun 7 · 12:00F. Trojan—111229113M. Barta—410111162
WMay 17 · 12:00F. Trojan—11813113M. Barta—3111131
WMay 3 · 06:30F. Trojan—11118133M. Barta—7911111
F. Trojan10
LJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820WJul 26 · 11:30M. Syroha2.1011811172F. Trojan1.67511115113WJul 26 · 10:00F. Trojan1.8391111113L. Havel1.83116141WJul 25 · 20:58F. Trojan1.25111110113J. Grohsgott3.75571271WJul 25 · 20:30J. Grohsgott3.75311681F. Trojan1.2511911113LJul 25 · 19:30F. Trojan2.0051131162J. Didi1.73119116113LJul 25 · 18:30V. Kosar1.611113133F. Trojan2.20811110LJul 5 · 17:30M. Barta1.611311113F. Trojan2.2011350LJul 5 · 16:00M. Barta2.2513811113F. Trojan1.571111671WJul 5 · 15:00M. Syroha1.7361030F. Trojan2.001112113
M. Barta10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Barta1.75911911113L. Sulava1.9511711952LSep 6 · 12:30M. Barta1.9177111172L. Sulava1.80111165113WSep 6 · 11:00M. Barta2.101111113J. Briska1.674640WSep 6 · 10:00M. Stefek1.446670M. Barta2.631111113WSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.5711117143M. Barta2.256811121LSep 5 · 11:30M. Barta1.678230Z. Zikmunda2.101111113WJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820WJul 5 · 17:30M. Barta1.611311113F. Trojan2.2011350WJul 5 · 16:00M. Barta2.2513811113F. Trojan1.571111671
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