TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12300465
Played Jul 26Finished
Frantisek Trojan
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116111114––
Ladislav Havel 1956
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Havel 1956 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Trojan above · Ladislav Havel 1956 below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 64 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Ladislav Havel 1956 at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Trojan 11–20 Ladislav Havel 1956 Frantisek Trojan has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Havel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-20 in 31
Havel
Wrong
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trojan 1352 vs Havel 1295
Trojan
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trojan 40% vs Havel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trojan 50% vs Havel 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trojan +2 · Havel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Havel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrojan 1.83 / Havel 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Havel)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12300465
Trojan1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Havel1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrojan5wins
AwayHavel5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrojan75%3 of 4
AwayHavel66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trojan4Havel6n = 10Havel took 6 of 10
S2Trojan5Havel5n = 10split evenly
S3Trojan5Havel5n = 10split evenly
S4Trojan6Havel3n = 9Trojan took 6 of 9
S5Trojan1Havel2n = 3Havel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrojanHavelT − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.6+2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrojanHavelBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 249 vs 292 / 59750.6%48.9%126 / 249 vs 292 / 597Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavelTrojan 1.83/Havel 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Havel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Trojan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 5 · 14:30F. Trojan—811611113L. Havel—11711812
WJun 7 · 10:00F. Trojan—101111123L. Havel—1287101
LMay 3 · 07:00F. Trojan—571141L. Havel—11115113
WApr 4 · 07:00F. Trojan—11911113L. Havel—311471
LFeb 16 · 23:00F. Trojan—5151011112L. Havel—1113124133
WFeb 9 · 02:30F. Trojan—11811133L. Havel—6111111
LJan 4 · 03:00F. Trojan—6460L. Havel—1111113
WDec 6 · 10:02F. Trojan—11911113L. Havel—911751
LDec 6 · 07:00F. Trojan—11139982L. Havel—8111111113
LDec 2 · 23:30F. Trojan—511981L. Havel—11611113
F. Trojan10
LJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820LJul 26 · 12:00F. Trojan2.0010980M. Barta1.731211113WJul 26 · 11:30M. Syroha2.1011811172F. Trojan1.67511115113WJul 25 · 20:58F. Trojan1.25111110113J. Grohsgott3.75571271WJul 25 · 20:30J. Grohsgott3.75311681F. Trojan1.2511911113LJul 25 · 19:30F. Trojan2.0051131162J. Didi1.73119116113LJul 25 · 18:30V. Kosar1.611113133F. Trojan2.20811110LJul 5 · 17:30M. Barta1.611311113F. Trojan2.2011350LJul 5 · 16:00M. Barta2.2513811113F. Trojan1.571111671WJul 5 · 15:00M. Syroha1.7361030F. Trojan2.001112113
L. Havel10
LAug 31 · 09:28L. Havel1.679121071A. Svoboda2.10111012113WAug 31 · 08:30L. Havel2.10111211113Z. Zikmunda1.67714841WAug 31 · 07:00L. Havel1.801111113M. Ulrych1.918980WAug 31 · 06:00A. Svoboda1.737990L. Havel2.001111113WAug 30 · 13:00L. Havel1.801111123D. Priesol1.9169100LAug 30 · 12:30L. Havel2.757131161M. Tacinec1.4011159113WAug 30 · 11:00L. Havel1.9111117113D. Priesol1.80591171LAug 30 · 10:00J. Briska1.831111133L. Havel1.8395110LAug 29 · 13:30L. Sulava1.2211117133L. Havel4.007511111LAug 29 · 12:30L. Sulava1.441111113L. Havel2.636940
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.