TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12295070
Played Jul 25Finished
Vaclav Kosar
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11813111311––––
Frantisek Trojan
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:40 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Frantisek Trojan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 67 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Vaclav Kosar at 58.4%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 5–4 Frantisek Trojan Frantisek Trojan has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Kosar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1454 vs Trojan 1360
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 60% vs Trojan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 80% vs Trojan 50%
Kosar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +2 · Trojan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kosar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trojan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 1.75 / Trojan 1.95
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kosar)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12295070
Kosar1.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 56 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it86% 47 of 55
Trojan1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 20 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back32% 8 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKosar5wins
AwayTrojan4wins
1 of 9 to a deciderKosar leads 5–4, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosar100%3 of 3
AwayTrojan66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosar3Trojan6n = 9Trojan took 6 of 9
S2Kosar5Trojan4n = 9Kosar took 5 of 9
S3Kosar4Trojan5n = 9Trojan took 5 of 9
S4Kosar4Trojan2n = 6Kosar took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKosarTrojanK − TBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match35.034.4+0.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarTrojanBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 419 vs 124 / 24550.8%50.6%213 / 419 vs 124 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosarKosar 1.75/Trojan 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kosar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 30 · 24:00V. Kosar—1111123F. Trojan—77100
LAug 19 · 01:30V. Kosar—6111061F. Trojan—11912113
LJul 20 · 01:00V. Kosar—5121361F. Trojan—111015113
WJun 18 · 19:00V. Kosar—11117113F. Trojan—961181
LApr 12 · 11:00V. Kosar—8770F. Trojan—1111113
LMar 8 · 11:00V. Kosar—10980F. Trojan—1211113
WJan 19 · 17:00V. Kosar—11411113F. Trojan—611481
WJan 17 · 19:00V. Kosar—891111113F. Trojan—11115482
WJan 12 · 12:00V. Kosar—31111113F. Trojan—116461
V. Kosar10
LSep 9 · 02:00M. Novak1.5717119113V. Kosar2.251561111WSep 9 · 24:30V. Kosar2.00941111113L. Sulava1.7311113242WSep 8 · 23:00V. Kosar2.63115611113A. Svoboda1.4471111682WSep 8 · 22:00R. Hasmanda1.737690V. Kosar2.001111113WSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113WSep 6 · 02:30V. Kosar2.10121111113P. Berdych1.671071391LSep 6 · 01:30M. Ulrych1.6171111113V. Kosar2.20114651LSep 6 · 24:00V. Kosar2.00981191M. Novotny1.7311114113LSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100WAug 30 · 03:28V. Kosar1.53491111113J. Pleskot2.3811119762
F. Trojan10
LJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820LJul 26 · 12:00F. Trojan2.0010980M. Barta1.731211113WJul 26 · 11:30M. Syroha2.1011811172F. Trojan1.67511115113WJul 26 · 10:00F. Trojan1.8391111113L. Havel1.83116141WJul 25 · 20:58F. Trojan1.25111110113J. Grohsgott3.75571271WJul 25 · 20:30J. Grohsgott3.75311681F. Trojan1.2511911113LJul 25 · 19:30F. Trojan2.0051131162J. Didi1.73119116113LJul 5 · 17:30M. Barta1.611311113F. Trojan2.2011350LJul 5 · 16:00M. Barta2.2513811113F. Trojan1.571111671WJul 5 · 15:00M. Syroha1.7361030F. Trojan2.001112113
Upcoming Matches
V. Kosar1 of 1 neutral
F. Trojan
Nothing scheduled
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