TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12300291
Played Jul 26Finished
Michal Syroha
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115811111115711
Frantisek Trojan
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Trojan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Frantisek Trojan below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 81 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Frantisek Trojan at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 33–17 Frantisek Trojan Frantisek Trojan has won 17 of their 50 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Trojan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-17 in 50
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 16 in 50, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1217 vs Trojan 1362
Trojan
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 0% vs Trojan 60%
Trojan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 20% vs Trojan 60%
Trojan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha -5 · Trojan +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Trojan) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 2.10 / Trojan 1.67
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Trojan)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12300291
Syroha2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 75 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back27% 27 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back14% 8 of 58
Trojan1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 18 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha7wins
AwayTrojan3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha83.3%5 of 6
AwayTrojan50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha6Trojan4n = 10Syroha took 6 of 10
S2Syroha7Trojan3n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S3Syroha5Trojan5n = 10split evenly
S4Syroha3Trojan3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaTrojanS − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.232.9+2.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaTrojanBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 651 vs 127 / 25049.5%50.8%322 / 651 vs 127 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrojanSyroha 2.10/Trojan 1.67
Hit
What we said
62.1%
Trojan · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Trojan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 18:00M. Syroha—1111113F. Trojan—5980
WJul 4 · 14:30M. Syroha—111165113F. Trojan—95111192
WJun 7 · 13:30M. Syroha—61211113F. Trojan—1110971
WJun 7 · 11:30M. Syroha—11113113F. Trojan—6111161
LMay 17 · 13:30M. Syroha—116791F. Trojan—31111113
WMay 17 · 11:30M. Syroha—811711113F. Trojan—11911582
LMay 3 · 08:58M. Syroha—711951F. Trojan—11611113
WMay 3 · 08:00M. Syroha—1111113F. Trojan—9740
WApr 13 · 02:00M. Syroha—1111113F. Trojan—4790
LJan 31 · 18:00M. Syroha—7760F. Trojan—1111103
M. Syroha10
LSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113LSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101WSep 5 · 15:00M. Regner2.00861151M. Syroha1.7311114113LSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113WSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:30J. Grohsgott1.809119111M. Syroha1.9111811133WSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WSep 3 · 03:28P. Kulhanek2.2591112842M. Syroha1.571181011113WSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.731161071M. Syroha2.0091112113
F. Trojan10
LJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820LJul 26 · 12:00F. Trojan2.0010980M. Barta1.731211113WJul 26 · 10:00F. Trojan1.8391111113L. Havel1.83116141WJul 25 · 20:58F. Trojan1.25111110113J. Grohsgott3.75571271WJul 25 · 20:30J. Grohsgott3.75311681F. Trojan1.2511911113LJul 25 · 19:30F. Trojan2.0051131162J. Didi1.73119116113LJul 25 · 18:30V. Kosar1.611113133F. Trojan2.20811110LJul 5 · 17:30M. Barta1.611311113F. Trojan2.2011350LJul 5 · 16:00M. Barta2.2513811113F. Trojan1.571111671WJul 5 · 15:00M. Syroha1.7361030F. Trojan2.001112113
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