TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12300272
Played Jul 25Finished
Jiri Grohsgott
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311119611811––
Frantisek Trojan
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:50 and never touched — 69.8% is still 69.8%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Trojan to win
69.8%
69.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Grohsgott above · Frantisek Trojan below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Frantisek Trojan at 69.8%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Grohsgott 0–8 Frantisek Trojan Jiri Grohsgott has won 0 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Trojan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-8 in 8
Trojan
Correct
gap of 8 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grohsgott 1193 vs Trojan 1339
Trojan
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grohsgott 20% vs Trojan 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grohsgott 50% vs Trojan 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grohsgott -4 · Trojan -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Trojan) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trojan form (20%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrohsgott 3.75 / Trojan 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Trojan)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12300272
Grohsgott3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 162 of 393
Down 0–1, comes back23% 47 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 118
Trojan1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 16 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeGrohsgott0wins
AwayTrojan8wins
2 of 8 to a deciderTrojan leads 8–0, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrohsgott0%0 of 3
AwayTrojan100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grohsgott3Trojan5n = 8Trojan took 5 of 8
S2Grohsgott5Trojan3n = 8Grohsgott took 5 of 8
S3Grohsgott1Trojan7n = 8Trojan took 7 of 8
S4Grohsgott0Trojan7n = 7Trojan took 7 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away563%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricGrohsgottTrojanG − TBasisWins08−8in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match33.242.2−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrohsgottTrojanBasisWin rate · lifetime743 / 1515 vs 124 / 24749%50.2%743 / 1515 vs 124 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrojanGrohsgott 3.75/Trojan 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79%
Trojan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Trojan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LDec 13 · 22:04J. Grohsgott—36150F. Trojan—1111173
LDec 13 · 19:00J. Grohsgott—11119942F. Trojan—711111113
LAug 19 · 03:00J. Grohsgott—117091F. Trojan—61111113
LAug 19 · 24:00J. Grohsgott—127561F. Trojan—101111113
LJul 19 · 21:30J. Grohsgott—611941F. Trojan—11411113
LJul 19 · 20:00J. Grohsgott—611291F. Trojan—11711113
LMay 21 · 24:30J. Grohsgott—614961F. Trojan—111211113
LFeb 20 · 01:00J. Grohsgott—513111092F. Trojan—1111912113
J. Grohsgott10
WSep 8 · 13:30J. Grohsgott1.571111113P. Sudek2.126720WSep 8 · 12:00J. Grohsgott1.7311611113P. Sudek2.00511451WSep 8 · 11:30J. Svec2.10781151J. Grohsgott1.6711119113WSep 8 · 10:00J. Grohsgott2.2571111113L. Madle1.57119991LSep 5 · 17:30J. Grohsgott3.00101511642M. Regner1.341213811113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Regner1.25812118113J. Grohsgott3.75111071172WSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110WSep 5 · 14:30M. Syroha1.91911111092J. Grohsgott1.80113912113LSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113LSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750
F. Trojan10
LJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820LJul 26 · 12:00F. Trojan2.0010980M. Barta1.731211113WJul 26 · 11:30M. Syroha2.1011811172F. Trojan1.67511115113WJul 26 · 10:00F. Trojan1.8391111113L. Havel1.83116141WJul 25 · 20:58F. Trojan1.25111110113J. Grohsgott3.75571271LJul 25 · 19:30F. Trojan2.0051131162J. Didi1.73119116113LJul 25 · 18:30V. Kosar1.611113133F. Trojan2.20811110LJul 5 · 17:30M. Barta1.611311113F. Trojan2.2011350LJul 5 · 16:00M. Barta2.2513811113F. Trojan1.571111671WJul 5 · 15:00M. Syroha1.7361030F. Trojan2.001112113
Upcoming Matches
J. Grohsgott
F. Trojan
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