TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12295838
Played Jul 25Finished
Frantisek Trojan
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119311116611
Julius Didi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:32 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJulius Didi to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Trojan above · Julius Didi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 84 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Julius Didi at 55.5%
84 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Trojan 1–1 Julius Didi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:32What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Didi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Trojan 1350 vs Didi 1333
Trojan
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trojan 40% vs Didi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trojan 50% vs Didi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trojan -3 · Didi +2
Trojan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Didi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Didi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrojan 2.00 / Didi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Didi)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12295838
Trojan2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 20 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back32% 8 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Didi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 104 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it90% 55 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it80% 74 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTrojan1wins
AwayDidi1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTrojanDidiT − DBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.539.0−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrojanDidiBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 246 vs 320 / 63050.4%50.8%124 / 246 vs 320 / 630Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DidiTrojan 2.00/Didi 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Didi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Didi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LApr 5 · 06:30F. Trojan—11312572J. Didi—7111011113
WJan 31 · 21:00F. Trojan—11116113J. Didi—371171
F. Trojan10
LJul 26 · 13:30M. Barta1.601211113F. Trojan2.2110820LJul 26 · 12:00F. Trojan2.0010980M. Barta1.731211113WJul 26 · 11:30M. Syroha2.1011811172F. Trojan1.67511115113WJul 26 · 10:00F. Trojan1.8391111113L. Havel1.83116141WJul 25 · 20:58F. Trojan1.25111110113J. Grohsgott3.75571271WJul 25 · 20:30J. Grohsgott3.75311681F. Trojan1.2511911113LJul 25 · 18:30V. Kosar1.611113133F. Trojan2.20811110LJul 5 · 17:30M. Barta1.611311113F. Trojan2.2011350LJul 5 · 16:00M. Barta2.2513811113F. Trojan1.571111671WJul 5 · 15:00M. Syroha1.7361030F. Trojan2.001112113
J. Didi10
LSep 7 · 09:28J. Didi1.80831181T. Andrle1.9111117113LSep 7 · 08:30K. Darin1.44121111113J. Didi2.63147991WSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:30T. Andrle1.73413441J. Didi2.00111111113LSep 4 · 20:59J. Didi2.109850V. Dolezal1.671111113LSep 4 · 20:00J. Didi1.30114871A. Svoboda3.4041111113WSep 4 · 19:30V. Dolezal1.5371114882J. Didi2.381141211113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Didi1.731198101M. Stefek2.0011111123LSep 3 · 03:04V. Dolezal1.2011139113J. Didi4.335111151LSep 3 · 02:30O. Vitrovyj1.731111133J. Didi2.0019110
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