TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125039
Played Sep 14Finished
Ladislav Havel 1956
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911611––––
Miroslav Barta
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Havel 1956 above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 57 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 64.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Havel 1956 9–21 Miroslav Barta Ladislav Havel 1956 has won 9 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:10What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Barta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-21 in 30
Barta
Correct
gap of 12 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Havel 1330 vs Barta 1283
Havel
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havel 20% vs Barta 60%
Barta
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havel 20% vs Barta 50%
Barta
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Havel -4 · Barta +1
Havel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Barta) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havel form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavel 2.38 / Barta 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Barta)-1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125039
Havel2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 47 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back15% 10 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 44
Barta1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 76 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it95% 40 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it82% 50 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavel4wins
AwayBarta6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBarta leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavel50%3 of 6
AwayBarta75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havel6Barta4n = 10Havel took 6 of 10
S2Havel6Barta4n = 10Havel took 6 of 10
S3Havel4Barta6n = 10Barta took 6 of 10
S4Havel4Barta4n = 8split evenly
S5Havel0Barta3n = 3Barta took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavelBartaH − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.035.8+2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavelBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 557 vs 230 / 49846.5%46.2%259 / 557 vs 230 / 498Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.836.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartaHavel 2.38/Barta 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Barta · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel31711761M. Barta3911611113
LSep 12 · 12:30L. Havel42311121152M. Barta44115143113
WAug 29 · 10:30L. Havel331111113M. Barta93330
WAug 22 · 17:00L. Havel3911611113M. Barta30511771
LAug 22 · 16:30L. Havel2681080M. Barta341112113
WAug 9 · 07:00L. Havel4181111113M. Barta34117971
LAug 1 · 06:30L. Havel50111198112M. Barta46471111133
LJul 27 · 17:30L. Havel371197101M. Barta4281111123
LJul 27 · 14:00L. Havel4211117672M. Barta49971111113
WJul 26 · 11:00L. Havel3911611113M. Barta31811931
L. Havel10
LSep 14 · 15:00L. Havel2.2012540J. Framberk1.611411113LSep 14 · 14:00J. Pleskot1.83118117113L. Havel1.8351181162LSep 13 · 17:00L. Havel1.639670M. Ulrych2.131111113LSep 13 · 16:30L. Havel2.753540L. Sulava1.401111113WSep 13 · 15:00L. Havel1.831111113M. Ulrych1.834470LSep 13 · 14:00J. Novotny1.4041111113L. Havel2.75112631LSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113LSep 12 · 12:30M. Barta1.80115143113L. Havel1.91311121152WSep 12 · 11:30L. Havel3.00811118113M. Tacinec1.3611621132LSep 12 · 10:30J. Kucharcik1.22811518113L. Havel4.00119111662
M. Barta10
WSep 14 · 15:30M. Barta1.91115311123J. Pleskot1.80611117102LSep 14 · 14:30J. Framberk1.501111113M. Barta2.507990LSep 13 · 09:30M. Barta1.8753131172J. Svec1.831111118113WSep 13 · 08:00M. Barta1.441111113F. Trojan2.635950WSep 13 · 07:30M. Bohac2.635121161M. Barta1.4411147113LSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113WSep 12 · 13:02L. Havel2.38711761M. Barta1.5311611113WSep 12 · 12:30M. Barta1.80115143113L. Havel1.91311121152LSep 12 · 11:00M. Barta4.33910111192J. Kucharcik1.20111253113LSep 12 · 10:00M. Tacinec1.441111113M. Barta2.631540
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