TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13149352
Played Sep 18Finished
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Zdenek Chovancik
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:00 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Jnr to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Neuwirth Jnr above · Zdenek Chovancik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr at 55.8%
57 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:00What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1316 vs Chovancik 1305
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 40% vs Chovancik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 50% vs Chovancik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr +2 · Chovancik -3
Chovancik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.67 / Chovancik 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jnr)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13149352
Jnr1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 42 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 27 of 39
Chovancik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 14 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back33% 4 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrChovancikBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 258 vs 33 / 8352.7%39.8%136 / 258 vs 33 / 83Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.67/Chovancik 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jnr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Jnr10
WSep 18 · 10:40J. Jnr1.40121111113L. Snr2.75146561WSep 18 · 09:40J. Jnr2.25111189113P. Sturma1.5779111192LSep 12 · 20:49I. Jemelka2.00591113113J. Jnr1.73111151192LSep 12 · 20:15J. Jnr1.91101171192L. Jr1.80127116113LSep 12 · 18:45I. Jemelka2.005121112113J. Jnr1.73111061452LSep 12 · 18:15P. Sturma1.6711511113J. Jnr2.10611781LSep 12 · 17:15J. Jnr2.00149561P. Sturma1.73121111113WSep 12 · 15:45J. Jnr2.2511118113P. Sturma1.57851151WSep 12 · 14:45J. Jnr1.83611911113M. Sobota1.8311711362WSep 12 · 13:45J. Jnr1.831111113P. Chvojka1.838680
Z. Chovancik10
LSep 18 · 12:40L. Snr1.2512117113Z. Chovancik3.751081161LSep 18 · 11:10P. Sturma2.00111152113Z. Chovancik1.7377111162LSep 18 · 10:10Z. Chovancik2.507570L. Snr1.501111113LSep 11 · 13:20Z. Chovancik1.771970J. Sindler1.871111113WSep 11 · 12:15J. Sindler1.8011660Z. Chovancik1.911311113WSep 11 · 11:15Z. Chovancik1.837111110113P. Sturma1.8311961272WSep 11 · 09:45T. Stempak1.8091161182Z. Chovancik1.91118119113WSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122
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