TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152502
Starts 14:10Scheduled
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 35–5Last 10Won last 3
Head to head
15 – 17
All 32 meetings · 46.9%
Last 10 · 3–7Same side
Patrik Sturma
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 12–8Last 10Won last 1
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr arrives on a run of 3 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 5h before this match
Jnr beat Sturma 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.91 / Sturma 1.80
TT Cup · #13152502
Jnr1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 23 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Sturma1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 62 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it51% 34 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr3wins
AwaySturma7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSturma leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr40%2 of 5
AwaySturma80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr5Sturma5n = 10split evenly
S2Jnr5Sturma5n = 10split evenly
S3Jnr1Sturma9n = 10Sturma took 9 of 10
S4Jnr2Sturma6n = 8Sturma took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrSturmaJ − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.739.5−5.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrSturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 259 vs 419 / 86152.9%48.7%137 / 259 vs 419 / 861Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 09:40J. Jnr50111189113P. Sturma4779111192
LSep 12 · 18:15J. Jnr32611781P. Sturma3811511113
LSep 12 · 17:15J. Jnr34149561P. Sturma45121111113
WSep 12 · 15:45J. Jnr4111118113P. Sturma29851151
LSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2412750P. Sturma361411113
LAug 15 · 15:45J. Jnr136430P. Sturma331111113
LJul 14 · 18:15J. Jnr371171361P. Sturma4361115113
WJun 30 · 17:10J. Jnr4171112113P. Sturma341141091
LJun 30 · 14:10J. Jnr40168971P. Sturma47141111113
LJun 29 · 17:20J. Jnr25612341P. Sturma43111011113
J. Jnr10
WSep 18 · 11:40J. Jnr1.671111113Z. Chovancik2.109870WSep 18 · 10:40J. Jnr1.40121111113L. Snr2.75146561WSep 18 · 09:40J. Jnr2.25111189113P. Sturma1.5779111192LSep 12 · 20:49I. Jemelka2.00591113113J. Jnr1.73111151192LSep 12 · 20:15J. Jnr1.91101171192L. Jr1.80127116113LSep 12 · 18:45I. Jemelka2.005121112113J. Jnr1.73111061452LSep 12 · 18:15P. Sturma1.6711511113J. Jnr2.10611781LSep 12 · 17:15J. Jnr2.00149561P. Sturma1.73121111113WSep 12 · 15:45J. Jnr2.2511118113P. Sturma1.57851151WSep 12 · 14:45J. Jnr1.83611911113M. Sobota1.8311711362
P. Sturma10
WSep 18 · 11:10P. Sturma2.00111152113Z. Chovancik1.7377111162LSep 18 · 09:40J. Jnr2.25111189113P. Sturma1.5779111192LSep 14 · 12:34P. Chvojka1.7312124113P. Sturma2.0010101191LSep 14 · 12:10P. Sturma1.679440P. Chvojka2.101111113LSep 14 · 10:40L. Jr1.67312411113P. Sturma2.10111011692LSep 14 · 10:10J. Sindler1.7311911123P. Sturma2.007117101LSep 14 · 09:05P. Sturma2.0011741112J. Sindler1.73711119113WSep 12 · 18:15P. Sturma1.6711511113J. Jnr2.10611781WSep 12 · 17:15J. Jnr2.00149561P. Sturma1.73121111113LSep 12 · 15:45J. Jnr2.2511118113P. Sturma1.57851151
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