TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129329
Played Sep 14Finished
Peter Chvojka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101210411119––
Patrik Sturma
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Patrik Sturma below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9
79 points played in total.
H2H Peter Chvojka 1–1 Patrik Sturma Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Chvojka beat Sturma 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chvojka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sturma form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvojka 1.73 / Sturma 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chvojka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13129329
Chvojka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 37 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it76% 32 of 42
Sturma2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 124 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back42% 52 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChvojka1wins
AwaySturma1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChvojkaSturmaC − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.028.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvojkaSturmaBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 304 vs 417 / 85945.4%48.5%138 / 304 vs 417 / 859Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChvojkaChvojka 1.73/Sturma 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chvojka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 14 · 12:10P. Chvojka331111113P. Sturma179440
LSep 12 · 15:15P. Chvojka37811991P. Sturma3911611113
P. Chvojka10
WSep 14 · 12:10P. Sturma1.679440P. Chvojka2.101111113LSep 14 · 11:10P. Chvojka2.10121111892J. Sindler1.67148911113LSep 14 · 09:40L. Jr2.0071114123P. Chvojka1.7311912101WSep 12 · 16:45P. Chvojka1.301114113M. Sobota3.4061290WSep 12 · 16:15M. Sobota2.3822140P. Chvojka1.531111163LSep 12 · 15:15P. Chvojka1.73811991P. Sturma2.0011611113LSep 12 · 13:45J. Jnr1.831111113P. Chvojka1.838680WSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341WSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 11:15P. Chvojka1.67812881L. Jr2.10111011113
P. Sturma10
LSep 14 · 12:10P. Sturma1.679440P. Chvojka2.101111113LSep 14 · 10:40L. Jr1.67312411113P. Sturma2.10111011692LSep 14 · 10:10J. Sindler1.7311911123P. Sturma2.007117101LSep 14 · 09:05P. Sturma2.0011741112J. Sindler1.73711119113LSep 14 · 08:10J. Matus1.838201111113P. Sturma1.83111871392LSep 14 · 07:10P. Sturma2.3811118942A. Strelec1.53681111113WSep 14 · 05:40J. Sindler1.837990P. Sturma1.831111113WSep 12 · 21:19L. Jr1.5771111772P. Sturma2.25112411113WSep 12 · 19:45I. Jemelka1.6721111392P. Sturma2.10118811113WSep 12 · 15:15P. Chvojka1.73811991P. Sturma2.0011611113
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