TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127082
Played Sep 14Finished
Patrik Sturma
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411411––––
Peter Chvojka
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:15 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timePatrik Sturma to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Sturma above · Peter Chvojka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 50 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Patrik Sturma at 55.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Sturma 1–0 Peter Chvojka Peter Chvojka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sturma
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sturma 1334 vs Chvojka 1242
Sturma
Wrong
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sturma 0% vs Chvojka 40%
Chvojka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sturma 40% vs Chvojka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sturma -5 · Chvojka -2
Sturma
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sturma)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sturma form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSturma 1.67 / Chvojka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sturma)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13127082
Sturma1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite46% won 62 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it51% 34 of 67
Chvojka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 39 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSturma1wins
AwayChvojka0wins
Sturma leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSturmaChvojkaS − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.037.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSturmaChvojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime417 / 858 vs 137 / 30348.6%45.2%417 / 858 vs 137 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SturmaSturma 1.67/Chvojka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Sturma · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 15:15P. Sturma3911611113P. Chvojka37811991
P. Sturma10
LSep 14 · 12:34P. Chvojka1.7312124113P. Sturma2.0010101191LSep 14 · 10:40L. Jr1.67312411113P. Sturma2.10111011692LSep 14 · 10:10J. Sindler1.7311911123P. Sturma2.007117101LSep 14 · 09:05P. Sturma2.0011741112J. Sindler1.73711119113LSep 14 · 08:10J. Matus1.838201111113P. Sturma1.83111871392LSep 14 · 07:10P. Sturma2.3811118942A. Strelec1.53681111113WSep 14 · 05:40J. Sindler1.837990P. Sturma1.831111113WSep 12 · 21:19L. Jr1.5771111772P. Sturma2.25112411113WSep 12 · 19:45I. Jemelka1.6721111392P. Sturma2.10118811113LSep 12 · 19:15L. Jr1.6191111113P. Sturma2.20117861
P. Chvojka10
WSep 14 · 12:34P. Chvojka1.7312124113P. Sturma2.0010101191LSep 14 · 11:10P. Chvojka2.10121111892J. Sindler1.67148911113LSep 14 · 09:40L. Jr2.0071114123P. Chvojka1.7311912101WSep 12 · 16:45P. Chvojka1.301114113M. Sobota3.4061290WSep 12 · 16:15M. Sobota2.3822140P. Chvojka1.531111163LSep 12 · 15:15P. Chvojka1.73811991P. Sturma2.0011611113LSep 12 · 13:45J. Jnr1.831111113P. Chvojka1.838680WSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341WSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 11:15P. Chvojka1.67812881L. Jr2.10111011113
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