TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127085
Played Sep 14Finished
Peter Chvojka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214118119811911
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:16 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 104 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 58.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Peter Chvojka 1–3 Jaroslav Sindler Peter Chvojka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Sindler
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chvojka 1255 vs Sindler 1391
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chvojka 40% vs Sindler 60%
Sindler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chvojka 40% vs Sindler 70%
Sindler
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chvojka -1 · Sindler +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvojka 2.10 / Sindler 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Sindler)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13127085
Chvojka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 39 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Sindler1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 119 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it68% 77 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeChvojka1wins
AwaySindler3wins
Sindler leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChvojkan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySindler100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chvojka1Sindler3n = 4Sindler took 3 of 4
S2Chvojka2Sindler2n = 4split evenly
S3Chvojka3Sindler1n = 4Chvojka took 3 of 4
S4Chvojka0Sindler3n = 3Sindler took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricChvojkaSindlerC − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match36.538.0−1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvojkaSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 302 vs 400 / 77945.4%51.4%137 / 302 vs 400 / 779Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerChvojka 2.10/Sindler 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 24 · 08:15P. Chvojka341111123J. Sindler2358100
LAug 10 · 11:15P. Chvojka391211971J. Sindler4214611113
LAug 6 · 06:15P. Chvojka341221281J. Sindler46141110113
LAug 5 · 06:15P. Chvojka3981011101J. Sindler4111126123
P. Chvojka10
LSep 14 · 09:40L. Jr2.0071114123P. Chvojka1.7311912101WSep 12 · 16:45P. Chvojka1.301114113M. Sobota3.4061290WSep 12 · 16:15M. Sobota2.3822140P. Chvojka1.531111163LSep 12 · 15:15P. Chvojka1.73811991P. Sturma2.0011611113LSep 12 · 13:45J. Jnr1.831111113P. Chvojka1.838680WSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341WSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 11:15P. Chvojka1.67812881L. Jr2.10111011113LSep 7 · 09:45O. Vaclahovsky1.80118119133P. Chvojka1.91411811112LSep 4 · 12:50M. Lorenc1.57812114113P. Chvojka2.25111081192
J. Sindler10
WSep 14 · 11:40L. Jr2.25651161J. Sindler1.5711119113WSep 14 · 10:10J. Sindler1.7311911123P. Sturma2.007117101WSep 14 · 09:05P. Sturma2.0011741112J. Sindler1.73711119113LSep 14 · 07:40J. Sindler1.737990A. Strelec2.001111113WSep 14 · 06:40J. Sindler1.731011711123J. Matus2.00123117102LSep 14 · 05:40J. Sindler1.837990P. Sturma1.831111113WSep 13 · 09:15D. Stefek1.80714101392J. Sindler1.9111121211113WSep 13 · 07:45T. Ogrocki1.7314811932J. Sindler2.001211911113WSep 13 · 07:15R. Jancak2.509670J. Sindler1.501111113LSep 13 · 06:15J. Sindler1.9110550D. Stefek1.801211113
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