TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127039
Played Sep 14Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121137111171210
Jiri Matus
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:45 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Jiri Matus below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 94 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 57.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 29–25 Jiri Matus Jiri Matus has won 25 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:45What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-25 in 54
Sindler
Correct
gap of 4 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1403 vs Matus 1323
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 60% vs Matus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 60% vs Matus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler -1 · Matus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.73 / Matus 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Sindler)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13127039
Sindler1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 119 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it68% 77 of 114
Matus2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 24 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler7wins
AwayMatus3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler85.7%6 of 7
AwayMatus66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler7Matus3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S2Sindler6Matus4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S3Sindler6Matus4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S4Sindler4Matus3n = 7Sindler took 4 of 7
S5Sindler2Matus2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerMatusS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.836.5+3.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerMatusBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 776 vs 217 / 42051.3%51.7%398 / 776 vs 217 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.73/Matus 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 06:40J. Sindler511011711123J. Matus43123117102
LSep 9 · 06:45J. Sindler4391111752J. Matus47119511113
WAug 28 · 08:10J. Sindler3811115113J. Matus28451181
WAug 26 · 08:45J. Sindler4415117113J. Matus391391161
WAug 26 · 08:10J. Sindler3913411113J. Matus351111671
WAug 13 · 06:40J. Sindler42114115113J. Matus4291171142
LAug 2 · 14:40J. Sindler531171112122J. Matus53911514143
WJul 26 · 13:45J. Sindler331111113J. Matus208390
LJul 24 · 12:55J. Sindler227870J. Matus331111113
WJul 24 · 10:40J. Sindler331111113J. Matus259970
J. Sindler10
LSep 14 · 07:40J. Sindler1.737990A. Strelec2.001111113LSep 14 · 05:40J. Sindler1.837990P. Sturma1.831111113WSep 13 · 09:15D. Stefek1.80714101392J. Sindler1.9111121211113WSep 13 · 07:45T. Ogrocki1.7314811932J. Sindler2.001211911113WSep 13 · 07:15R. Jancak2.509670J. Sindler1.501111113LSep 13 · 06:15J. Sindler1.9110550D. Stefek1.801211113WSep 11 · 13:20Z. Chovancik1.771970J. Sindler1.871111113LSep 11 · 12:15J. Sindler1.8011660Z. Chovancik1.911311113WSep 11 · 10:45T. Stempak1.839850J. Sindler1.831111113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Sturma1.91118861J. Sindler1.8071111113
J. Matus10
WSep 14 · 06:10A. Strelec1.80118125112J. Matus1.915111011133WSep 13 · 20:55J. Matus1.731112113M. Dolezal2.0081030LSep 13 · 20:15J. Oleksik2.10851211113J. Matus1.67111110762WSep 13 · 19:15J. Matus1.73116115113L. Jr2.0081151192LSep 13 · 17:45M. Dolezal2.2011119113J. Matus1.61921171LSep 10 · 08:40J. Matus1.7361211862T. Slivka2.001110811113WSep 10 · 07:40J. Matus1.83121111113T. Slivka1.83148461LSep 10 · 06:40J. Matus1.61910120F. Mandrysz2.201112143LSep 10 · 05:40J. Matus1.447870R. Zajac2.631111113WSep 9 · 09:20A. Strelec1.77371171J. Matus1.8711116113
Upcoming Matches
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