TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108454
Played Sep 10Finished
Jiri Matus
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111210118811611
Tadeas Slivka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingJiri Matus above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11
94 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Matus 2–3 Tadeas Slivka Jiri Matus has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Matus beat Slivka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Matus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatus 1.73 / Slivka 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Matus)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13108454
Matus1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 93 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it75% 63 of 84
Slivka2.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 11 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMatus2wins
AwaySlivka3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderSlivka leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatusn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySlivka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matus1Slivka4n = 5Slivka took 4 of 5
S2Matus4Slivka1n = 5Matus took 4 of 5
S3Matus4Slivka1n = 5Matus took 4 of 5
S4Matus3Slivka2n = 5Matus took 3 of 5
S5Matus0Slivka3n = 3Slivka took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMatusSlivkaM − SBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match44.241.4+2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatusSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 414 vs 65 / 13751.7%47.5%214 / 414 vs 65 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatusMatus 1.73/Slivka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Matus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slivka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 08:40J. Matus—61211862T. Slivka—1110811113
WSep 10 · 07:40J. Matus—121111113T. Slivka—148461
WApr 2 · 06:15J. Matus—61112113T. Slivka—1181051
LMar 11 · 08:45J. Matus—111191082T. Slivka—581112113
LFeb 13 · 08:45J. Matus—97111162T. Slivka—111164113
J. Matus10
WSep 10 · 07:40J. Matus1.83121111113T. Slivka1.83148461LSep 10 · 06:40J. Matus1.61910120F. Mandrysz2.201112143LSep 10 · 05:40J. Matus1.447870R. Zajac2.631111113WSep 9 · 09:20A. Strelec1.77371171J. Matus1.8711116113WSep 9 · 08:15J. Matus1.80111198113F. Mandrysz1.9175111142WSep 9 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7391111752J. Matus2.00119511113LSep 9 · 06:15A. Strelec1.83119116133J. Matus1.83811411112WSep 1 · 17:15P. Sturma—3790J. Matus—1111113LSep 1 · 16:15P. Sturma1.9191211113J. Matus1.801110851WSep 1 · 15:15J. Matus1.8011119113L. Jr1.91841191
T. Slivka10
LSep 10 · 07:40J. Matus1.83121111113T. Slivka1.83148461LSep 10 · 07:10R. Zajac2.501112113T. Slivka1.5071090LSep 10 · 06:10T. Slivka2.75115781F. Mandrysz1.4021111113LSep 7 · 12:44P. Chvojka1.4411811113T. Slivka2.63511341LSep 7 · 12:15T. Slivka2.208870P. Chvojka1.611111113LSep 7 · 10:45O. Vaclahovsky2.2511118113T. Slivka1.57541131LSep 7 · 10:15L. Jr2.001211811113T. Slivka1.7314611792WSep 7 · 08:44F. Mandrysz1.28910111192T. Slivka3.50111269113LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071
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