TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127091
Played Sep 14Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911911––––
Adam Strelec
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Adam Strelec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 19–18 Adam Strelec Adam Strelec has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-18 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1387 vs Strelec 1358
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 80% vs Strelec 60%
Sindler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 70% vs Strelec 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +1 · Strelec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.73 / Strelec 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sindler)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13127091
Sindler1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 119 of 233
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it68% 77 of 114
Strelec2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 31 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler5wins
AwayStrelec5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler80%4 of 5
AwayStrelec80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler5Strelec5n = 10split evenly
S2Sindler7Strelec3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S3Sindler4Strelec6n = 10Strelec took 6 of 10
S4Sindler4Strelec4n = 8split evenly
S5Sindler1Strelec2n = 3Strelec took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerStrelecSindler − StrelecBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.3−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerStrelecBasisWin rate · lifetime398 / 777 vs 113 / 22951.2%49.3%398 / 777 vs 113 / 229Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.73/Strelec 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strelec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 07:40J. Sindler257990A. Strelec331111113
LSep 9 · 07:45J. Sindler4291111742A. Strelec44117411113
WSep 8 · 06:15J. Sindler331111113A. Strelec229580
LSep 2 · 06:10J. Sindler50139513102A. Strelec5611111111123
LSep 1 · 08:43J. Sindler358111151A. Strelec4411139113
WSep 1 · 07:40J. Sindler4011117113A. Strelec36891181
WAug 28 · 06:10J. Sindler511111810113A. Strelec4366111282
WAug 14 · 11:45J. Sindler3911116113A. Strelec32771171
LAug 6 · 09:13J. Sindler27511291A. Strelec4211911113
WAug 6 · 08:15J. Sindler3851111113A. Strelec31117671
J. Sindler10
WSep 14 · 06:40J. Sindler1.731011711123J. Matus2.00123117102LSep 14 · 05:40J. Sindler1.837990P. Sturma1.831111113WSep 13 · 09:15D. Stefek1.80714101392J. Sindler1.9111121211113WSep 13 · 07:45T. Ogrocki1.7314811932J. Sindler2.001211911113WSep 13 · 07:15R. Jancak2.509670J. Sindler1.501111113LSep 13 · 06:15J. Sindler1.9110550D. Stefek1.801211113WSep 11 · 13:20Z. Chovancik1.771970J. Sindler1.871111113LSep 11 · 12:15J. Sindler1.8011660Z. Chovancik1.911311113WSep 11 · 10:45T. Stempak1.839850J. Sindler1.831111113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Sturma1.91118861J. Sindler1.8071111113
A. Strelec10
WSep 14 · 07:10P. Sturma2.3811118942A. Strelec1.53681111113LSep 14 · 06:10A. Strelec1.80118125112J. Matus1.915111011133LSep 9 · 09:20A. Strelec1.77371171J. Matus1.8711116113WSep 9 · 07:45J. Sindler1.6791111742A. Strelec2.10117411113WSep 9 · 07:15F. Mandrysz1.67112881A. Strelec2.1061111113WSep 9 · 06:15A. Strelec1.83119116133J. Matus1.83811411112WSep 8 · 09:00R. Jancak1.83712761A. Strelec1.83111011113LSep 8 · 08:15A. Strelec1.731212111172R. Jancak2.00141458113WSep 8 · 06:45P. Sturma2.386115101A. Strelec1.5311811123LSep 8 · 06:15J. Sindler1.731111113A. Strelec2.009580
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