TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13122606
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Ogrocki
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412811119911311
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:15 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Ogrocki to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Ogrocki above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 99 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Tomas Ogrocki at 54.1%
99 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Ogrocki 4–2 Jaroslav Sindler Jaroslav Sindler has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:15What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ogrocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Ogrocki
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ogrocki 1346 vs Sindler 1393
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ogrocki 60% vs Sindler 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ogrocki 40% vs Sindler 60%
Sindler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ogrocki -1 · Sindler +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ogrocki) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOgrocki 1.73 / Sindler 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Ogrocki)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13122606
Ogrocki1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 52 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it69% 34 of 49
Sindler2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog56% won 79 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back33% 22 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOgrocki4wins
AwaySindler2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderOgrocki leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOgrocki80%4 of 5
AwaySindlern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ogrocki5Sindler1n = 6Ogrocki took 5 of 6
S2Ogrocki3Sindler3n = 6split evenly
S3Ogrocki2Sindler4n = 6Sindler took 4 of 6
S4Ogrocki3Sindler2n = 5Ogrocki took 3 of 5
S5Ogrocki2Sindler1n = 3Ogrocki took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricOgrockiSindlerO − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match38.238.8−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOgrockiSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 465 vs 395 / 77246.7%51.2%217 / 465 vs 395 / 772Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OgrockiOgrocki 1.73/Sindler 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Ogrocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 9 · 09:18T. Ogrocki3811741152J. Sindler39311113113
WAug 9 · 06:10T. Ogrocki39111142113J. Sindler4569111182
WJul 30 · 16:48T. Ogrocki4111611133J. Sindler333118111
WJul 30 · 14:40T. Ogrocki341112113J. Sindler2671090
LMar 15 · 10:10T. Ogrocki321111461J. Sindler4313811113
WMar 15 · 07:40T. Ogrocki45119311113J. Sindler4791111792
T. Ogrocki10
LSep 13 · 06:45T. Ogrocki2.5011451192D. Stefek1.50311119113WSep 13 · 05:45T. Ogrocki1.501111119113R. Jancak2.5089131182WSep 11 · 20:55O. Skvor1.61117871T. Ogrocki2.2081111113LSep 11 · 20:10T. Ogrocki1.6712117792I. Jemelka2.101081111113WSep 11 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.10813891T. Ogrocki1.67111111113LSep 11 · 18:10O. Skvor2.1071111113T. Ogrocki1.67116971WSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113LSep 10 · 20:10J. Vanous2.00831111113T. Ogrocki1.7311114942LSep 10 · 19:10T. Ogrocki2.7511371242F. Theodor1.405111110113LSep 10 · 17:40V. Reska1.441113113T. Ogrocki2.6361180
J. Sindler10
WSep 13 · 07:15R. Jancak2.509670J. Sindler1.501111113LSep 13 · 06:15J. Sindler1.9110550D. Stefek1.801211113WSep 11 · 13:20Z. Chovancik1.771970J. Sindler1.871111113LSep 11 · 12:15J. Sindler1.8011660Z. Chovancik1.911311113WSep 11 · 10:45T. Stempak1.839850J. Sindler1.831111113WSep 11 · 10:15P. Sturma1.91118861J. Sindler1.8071111113LSep 11 · 09:20D. Stefek1.831111113J. Sindler1.839580WSep 11 · 08:15J. Sindler1.5311611113R. Jancak2.38911781LSep 11 · 06:45D. Stefek1.83124114113J. Sindler1.83101181182WSep 11 · 06:15P. Sturma1.9141111662J. Sindler1.80118911113
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