TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112425
Played Sep 11Finished
Dominik Stefek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210411118411118
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDominik Stefek above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 90 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Stefek 7–7 Jaroslav Sindler Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1284 vs Sindler 1388
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 40% vs Sindler 60%
Sindler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 20% vs Sindler 50%
Sindler
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek +2 · Sindler +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.83 / Sindler 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sindler)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13112425
Stefek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sindler1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek6wins
AwaySindler4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek71.4%5 of 7
AwaySindler66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek7Sindler3n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S2Stefek4Sindler6n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S3Stefek6Sindler4n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10
S4Stefek4Sindler4n = 8split evenly
S5Stefek2Sindler2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekSindlerStefek − SindlerBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.140.5+0.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 94 vs 390 / 76447.9%51.1%45 / 94 vs 390 / 764Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.140.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerStefek 1.83/Sindler 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:45D. Stefek—124114113J. Sindler—101181182
LSep 5 · 16:43D. Stefek—119119102J. Sindler—811411123
LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek—116111152J. Sindler—611913113
LAug 27 · 09:09D. Stefek—10111191J. Sindler—12713113
WAug 27 · 07:40D. Stefek—1111113J. Sindler—7980
LAug 13 · 12:40D. Stefek—10570J. Sindler—1211113
WAug 13 · 10:10D. Stefek—11911123J. Sindler—5119101
WAug 13 · 09:13D. Stefek—111111113J. Sindler—991391
WAug 13 · 05:40D. Stefek—1291111113J. Sindler—14119972
WAug 11 · 11:15D. Stefek—11115113J. Sindler—691191
D. Stefek10
LSep 11 · 07:45D. Stefek1.671310155102P. Sturma2.1011121311123WSep 11 · 05:45D. Stefek1.61611811113R. Jancak2.2011211722WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113
J. Sindler10
WSep 11 · 06:15P. Sturma1.9141111662J. Sindler1.80118911113LSep 9 · 13:15J. Sindler1.6541191162L. Jr2.03114118113WSep 9 · 12:15J. Sindler1.6711118113L. Jr2.10761151LSep 9 · 10:45J. Sevecek1.73711311113J. Sindler2.0011911692WSep 9 · 10:15L. Zustina1.8312990J. Sindler1.831411113LSep 9 · 08:50J. Sindler1.83311381F. Mandrysz1.8311511113LSep 9 · 07:45J. Sindler1.6791111742A. Strelec2.10117411113LSep 9 · 06:45J. Sindler1.7391111752J. Matus2.00119511113WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.